人民币国际化路径选择研究

发布时间：2018-04-08 20:13

本文选题：路径选择　切入点：“双轨制”路径　出处：《华中科技大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：21世纪，金融全球化是全球社会关注的热点，货币国际化作为其重要组成部分不可避免的成为全世界的焦点。进入21世纪以来，我国经济持续快速发展，政治事务和国际地位的不断提升，成为21世纪最有发展潜力和最被看好的国家之一，加之美国金融危机的冲击更是使人民币国际化成为一种必然趋势。因此，以人民币为研究对象，探究其国际化路径意义重大。本文运用战略管理的理论和工具，从货币国际化、人民币国际化的定义入手，探究货币国际化所需要的基本条件；然后，通过回顾和对比三大主要国际货币的国际化进程，探究对人民币的借鉴作用；接着，分析我国人民币国际化程度和现状，并运用SWOT分析方法对其内部具有的优势和劣势，识别外部环境中将面临的机会和威胁；最后，综合以上分析，从人民币国际化的主流路径：两个“三步走”和“双轨制”、渐进式的战略路径中做出科学抉择，逐步稳步推进人民币的国际化。本文认为，，人民币国际化是市场的选择，也是历史的必然趋势，当前人民币国际化的条件已经具备、时机已经成熟，但是人民币国际化的道路是曲折而复杂的。美元、欧元和日元的国际化道路对人民币的国际化具有一定的借鉴意义，但是人民币国际化的道路决不能完全照搬任何一种国际货币的路径和模式。我们应当结合当前时代背景、国际环境以及我国国情，选择一条具有中国特色的人民币国际化路径，“双轨制”、渐进式的战略路径正是明智的选择。
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, financial globalization is the focus of global attention, and the internationalization of money as an important part of it inevitably becomes the focus of the world.Since entering the 21st century, with the sustained and rapid economic development of our country and the continuous upgrading of political affairs and international status, China has become one of the most promising and promising countries in the 21st century.In addition, the impact of the financial crisis in the United States has made RMB internationalization an inevitable trend.Therefore, taking RMB as the object of study, it is of great significance to explore its internationalization path.This paper uses the theory and tool of strategic management, starting with the definition of currency internationalization and RMB internationalization, explores the basic conditions of currency internationalization, and then, by reviewing and comparing the internationalization process of the three major international currencies,Then, analyze the degree and status of RMB internationalization in China, and use SWOT analysis method to identify the internal strengths and weaknesses of the RMB, and identify the opportunities and threats that will be faced in the external environment.Synthesizing above analysis, from the mainstream path of RMB internationalization: two "three steps" and "double track system", make a scientific choice in the gradual strategic path, promote the internationalization of RMB step by step.This paper holds that the internationalization of RMB is the choice of market and the inevitable trend of history. The current conditions for internationalization of RMB are already available and the time is ripe, but the road of internationalization of RMB is tortuous and complicated.The internationalization of US dollar, euro and yen has certain reference significance to the internationalization of RMB, but the way of RMB internationalization must not completely copy the path and mode of any kind of international currency.According to the background of the present era, the international environment and the national conditions of our country, we should choose a path of RMB internationalization with Chinese characteristics, "two-track system" and "gradual strategic path", which is a wise choice.
【学位授予单位】：华中科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6

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