贸易发展促进货币国际化研究

发布时间：2018-05-21 18:30

本文选题：货币国际化 + 贸易发展　；参考：《宁波大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着世界经济的发展、美元霸权地位的下降、日元国际化的推进以及欧元作为国际货币的出现，货币国际化问题得到理论界更多关注。本文以贸易为切入点，在归纳分析经典理论的基础上，从贸易规模与贸易结构两方面详尽分析了贸易发展促进货币国际化的影响路径，剖析了贸易发展影响货币国际化程度的因素，构建多国面板模型，进行实证分析，并分别建立日元与德马克国际化的多元序列回归模型，比较分析了日元、马克在国际化进程中的贸易促进作用，最后在理论分析和实证研究的基础上归纳了有利于人民币国际化的若干启示。本文认为：贸易规模扩大带来的规模经济效应和交易网络效应，会对货币国际化带来积极的正面作用；贸易结构不断优化使货币的使用范围逐渐增加，会发展与完善该货币的交易媒介职能，也会促进货币国际化；货币发行国的经济实力、金融发展水平和货币价值的稳定也对一国货币国际化有重要作用。实证结果以及对马克日元国际化进程比较分析进一步表明：对外贸易规模的扩大、产品差异化程度的提升可以促进货币国际化；一国经济实力是货币国际化的重要因素；金融发展对货币国际化的推动力随着全球金融经济的深入发展而日渐增强；币值稳定是一国货币成为国际货币的重要条件。非主流货币国际化不要单打独斗，，最好依靠区域合作的力量；国际货币的各个职能要兼顾发展，缺一不可。为此，本文结合理论和实证的分析，从人民币国际化现状出发，最后提出以贸易发展为突破口加快推进人民币国际化的发展战略和实施举措，具体包括：坚持从区域化到国际化的发展道路；发挥贸易推动效应，扩大国际贸易规模、推进产业结构升级；巩固人民币国际化的金融根基；汇率改革和调整坚持独立自主原则。
[Abstract]:With the development of the world economy, the decline of the hegemonic position of the dollar, the promotion of the internationalization of the yen and the emergence of the euro as an international currency, the issue of currency internationalization has been paid more attention to by the theorists. Based on the classical theory, this paper analyzes the influence of trade development on currency internationalization from two aspects: trade scale and trade structure. This paper analyzes the factors that influence the degree of currency internationalization in the development of trade, constructs the multi-country panel model, carries on the empirical analysis, and establishes the multiple sequence regression model of the internationalization of Japanese yen and Demark respectively, and compares and analyzes the yen. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research, the author sums up some enlightenments in favor of RMB internationalization. This paper holds that the scale economy effect and the trade network effect brought by the expansion of trade scale will bring positive effect to currency internationalization, and the continuous optimization of trade structure will gradually increase the scope of use of currency. It will develop and perfect the exchange medium function of the currency and promote the currency internationalization, and the stability of the economic strength, the level of financial development and the monetary value of the issuing country will also play an important role in the internationalization of a country's currency. The empirical results and comparative analysis of the internationalization process of the mark yen further show that the expansion of the scale of foreign trade and the promotion of product differentiation can promote the currency internationalization, the economic strength of a country is an important factor of currency internationalization; With the further development of global financial economy, the impetus of financial development to currency internationalization is increasing, and currency stability is an important condition for a country's currency to become an international currency. It is best to rely on the strength of regional cooperation. All functions of the international currency must be balanced with the development of the international currency, and it is indispensable for each function of the international currency to take into account the development of the international currency. Therefore, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper, starting from the current situation of RMB internationalization, finally puts forward the development strategy and implementation measures to accelerate the internationalization of RMB by taking the development of trade as a breakthrough. It includes: insisting on the development road from regionalization to internationalization; exerting the effect of promoting trade, expanding the scale of international trade, promoting the upgrading of industrial structure; consolidating the financial foundation of RMB internationalization; Exchange rate reform and readjustment adhere to the principle of independence and independence.
【学位授予单位】：宁波大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F821.6;F746

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