人民币汇率市场化问题研究
发布时间：2018-08-22 08:15
【摘要】：随着中国经济的开放程度和对世界经济依赖程度的不断深化,中国成为世界第二大经济体,其与世界的融合度在不断加深,汇率市场化也逐渐成为我国汇率制度改革的发展方向和必然趋势,如何进行汇率市场化使经济平稳发展,同时避免金融危机也就成为了事关重大的课题。汇率作为衡量宏观经济的重要指标,和利率一道成为考察一个国家内部经济和外部经济发展协调性的重要参考。 本文的写作目的在于分析我国汇率市场化的进程及现状,提出合理市场化的建议。本文在综述汇率市场化的相关理论的基础上,分析我国建国以来的汇率制度演变过程及我国目前的汇率制度安排,采用实证检验的方法考察我国汇率与利率、汇率与出口额的联动性,并分析造成相应检验结果的原因,对比分析曾经发生过金融危机的泰国及墨西哥的经验教训,继而详细分析我国进行汇率市场化的利弊,从而结合金融自由化相关理论、马克思主义金融危机理论及“三元悖论”对我国汇率市场化的发展提出相应建议。本文得出的结论是,从建国以来,我国汇率市场化程度不够,汇率与利率之间存在联动性,汇率与出口额之间不存在格来杰因果关系,汇率市场化问题是必然趋势且急需解决,但要平稳进行,不可采取激进式。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's economic openness and dependence on the world economy, China has become the second largest economy in the world. Its integration with the world is deepening. The marketization of exchange rate has gradually become the development direction and inevitable trend of China's exchange rate system reform. How to carry out the marketization of exchange rate to make the economy develop smoothly and avoid it at the same time The avoidance of financial crisis has become a major issue. Exchange rate, as an important indicator of macro-economy, together with interest rate, has become an important reference for investigating the coordination of internal and external economic development of a country.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the process and present situation of exchange rate marketization in China and put forward some reasonable suggestions. On the basis of reviewing the relevant theories of exchange rate marketization, this paper analyzes the evolution of exchange rate system since the founding of our country and the arrangement of exchange rate system in our country at present. Interest rate, exchange rate and export linkage, and analysis of the causes of the corresponding test results, comparative analysis of the experience of Thailand and Mexico, and then a detailed analysis of China's exchange rate marketization pros and cons, so as to combine financial liberalization theory, Marxist financial crisis theory and the "ternary" The conclusion of this paper is that since the founding of the People's Republic of China, the degree of marketization of exchange rate in China has been insufficient, there is linkage between exchange rate and interest rate, there is no Gregorian causality between exchange rate and export volume, and the problem of marketization of exchange rate is an inevitable trend and needs to be solved urgently, but it should be carried out smoothly. No radical action should be taken.
【学位授予单位】：首都师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6
本文编号：2196522
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's economic openness and dependence on the world economy, China has become the second largest economy in the world. Its integration with the world is deepening. The marketization of exchange rate has gradually become the development direction and inevitable trend of China's exchange rate system reform. How to carry out the marketization of exchange rate to make the economy develop smoothly and avoid it at the same time The avoidance of financial crisis has become a major issue. Exchange rate, as an important indicator of macro-economy, together with interest rate, has become an important reference for investigating the coordination of internal and external economic development of a country.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the process and present situation of exchange rate marketization in China and put forward some reasonable suggestions. On the basis of reviewing the relevant theories of exchange rate marketization, this paper analyzes the evolution of exchange rate system since the founding of our country and the arrangement of exchange rate system in our country at present. Interest rate, exchange rate and export linkage, and analysis of the causes of the corresponding test results, comparative analysis of the experience of Thailand and Mexico, and then a detailed analysis of China's exchange rate marketization pros and cons, so as to combine financial liberalization theory, Marxist financial crisis theory and the "ternary" The conclusion of this paper is that since the founding of the People's Republic of China, the degree of marketization of exchange rate in China has been insufficient, there is linkage between exchange rate and interest rate, there is no Gregorian causality between exchange rate and export volume, and the problem of marketization of exchange rate is an inevitable trend and needs to be solved urgently, but it should be carried out smoothly. No radical action should be taken.
【学位授予单位】：首都师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6
【引证文献】
相关硕士学位论文 前3条
1 钱继胜;新形势下Y铜加工企业汇率风险防范对策研究[D];安徽财经大学;2016年
2 马宪宇;人民币汇率变动与居民生活的相关性研究[D];吉林大学;2015年
3 应玮tD;人民币汇率市场化对短期国际资本流动的影响研究[D];南京农业大学;2014年
，本文编号：2196522
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