人民币国际化的条件、模式和路径研究

发布时间：2018-09-17 06:36

【摘要】：近几年,伴随着美元、欧元和日元的颓势,要求国际货币体系改革的呼声越来越高,人民币作为新兴力量开始在国际货币舞台上崭露头角,在越来越广的范围内开始发挥国际货币职能。国内外学者对人民币国际化的研究进入了一个新的高潮,研究的领域涉及到各个方面。本文通过对货币国际化基本理论深入了解的基础上,结合当今的世界经济形势和中国的现实状况,对人民币国际化的条件、模式和路径研究进行了一些新的尝试性探索,希望能够为下一阶段人民币国际化需要关注的方向提供指导与借鉴。通过对人民币国际化的现状分析,为全文的研究打下了基础。在相关的分析中从过程与状态的角度明确了货币国际化、国际货币的含义与关系：国际货币是货币国际化由低到高发展阶段的具体状态。进而简洁清晰地定义了人民币国际化。接着,从自由兑换、跨境贸易、货币互换、离岸市场和储备职能概括了人民币国际化的进程,并从两个方面对人民币国际化的进程进行了评价,明确了人民币国际化当前所处的阶段。紧接着,从条件、模式和路径三个方面研究了如何更有效地推进人民币国际化的进程。在条件的分析中,从经济、金融、政治和外部环境四个方面归纳分析了人民币国际化的现实基础,并探讨了其中的不足；然后运用序参量的基本思想明确了完善人民币国际化条件的驱动力,提出了内核持久创造力(CEC),希望能够从优势资源和内部能力两个方面入手来强化内核持久创造力,使其成为人民币国际化进程中的核心优势,为下一步夯实人民币国际化的基础指明了方向。在模式的分析中,通过对三大主要国际货币进程和模式的总结归纳,提出了货币国际化的四种模式——政策型推进模式、区域型推动模式、激进型推行模式和平衡型演进模式,通过对四种模式进行比较和评析,认为当前适合人民币国际化的应该是平衡型演进模式。在路径的分析中,归纳了当前主要的可供人民币国际化选择的路径并进行了比较和评析,然后在借鉴可供选择路径的基础上规划了当前适合人民币国际化的推进路径——地位推进型路径,明确了人民币国际化下阶段的目标。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the decline of the US dollar, the euro and the yen, the demand for the reform of the international monetary system has become increasingly high. As a new force, the RMB has begun to emerge on the international monetary stage. In an increasingly wide range of international monetary functions began to play. Scholars at home and abroad have entered a new climax in the research of RMB internationalization. Based on the deep understanding of the basic theory of currency internationalization and the current world economic situation and the reality of China, this paper makes some new attempts to explore the conditions, models and paths of RMB internationalization. Hope to provide guidance and reference for the next stage of RMB internationalization. Through the analysis of the current situation of RMB internationalization, it lays a foundation for the full study. From the perspective of process and state, this paper clarifies the meaning and relationship of international currency: international currency is the specific state of currency internationalization from low to high stage of development. In turn, the definition of RMB internationalization is concise and clear. Then, from the aspects of convertibility, cross-border trade, currency swap, offshore market and reserve function, this paper summarizes the process of RMB internationalization, and evaluates the process of RMB internationalization from two aspects. It clarifies the current stage of RMB internationalization. Then, it studies how to promote RMB internationalization more effectively from three aspects: condition, mode and path. In the analysis of conditions, this paper sums up and analyzes the realistic foundation of RMB internationalization from four aspects of economy, finance, politics and external environment, and probes into its shortcomings. Then, using the basic idea of order parameter, the driving force of perfecting RMB internationalization condition is clarified, and (CEC), hopes to strengthen the core persistent creativity from two aspects: superior resources and internal capability. Make it become the core advantage of RMB internationalization process, and point out the direction for the next step to consolidate the foundation of RMB internationalization. In the analysis of the model, by summing up the three major international monetary processes and models, this paper puts forward four modes of monetary internationalization, namely, the policy mode, the regional model, the radical mode and the balanced model. Through the comparison and analysis of the four models, the author thinks that the equilibrium model should be suitable for the internationalization of RMB at present. In the analysis of the path, the main paths available for RMB internationalization are summarized, and compared and evaluated. Then, on the basis of using the alternative path for reference, this paper plans the advancement path-status advancement path which is suitable for RMB internationalization at present, and clarifies the goal of the next stage of RMB internationalization.
【学位授予单位】：武汉理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.6

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