基于动态面板数据的中国菲利普斯曲线稳健性分析
发布时间：2019-01-07 09:08
【摘要】：基于中国1978-2008年31个省市的动态面板数据,运用系统广义矩估计方法,分别考察了传统的菲利普斯曲线、新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线和混合菲利普斯曲线在中国的适用性及稳健性。结果表明三种类型的菲利普斯曲线在中国省际动态面板数据意义上都是成立的,且都是稳健的。政策含义是,政策制定需高度重视人们对通货膨胀率的前瞻性预期。
[Abstract]:Based on the dynamic panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 1978 to 2008, the traditional Phillips curve is investigated by using the generalized moment estimation method. Applicability and robustness of New Keynesian Phillips Curve and mixed Phillips Curve in China. The results show that the three types of Phillips curves are all valid and robust in the sense of Chinese provincial dynamic panel data. The policy implication is that policy-making needs to place high value on forward-looking expectations of inflation.
【作者单位】： 厦门大学经济学院经济学系;厦门大学王亚南经济研究院;
【分类号】：F822.5;F224
[Abstract]:Based on the dynamic panel data of 31 provinces and cities in China from 1978 to 2008, the traditional Phillips curve is investigated by using the generalized moment estimation method. Applicability and robustness of New Keynesian Phillips Curve and mixed Phillips Curve in China. The results show that the three types of Phillips curves are all valid and robust in the sense of Chinese provincial dynamic panel data. The policy implication is that policy-making needs to place high value on forward-looking expectations of inflation.
【作者单位】： 厦门大学经济学院经济学系;厦门大学王亚南经济研究院;
【分类号】：F822.5;F224
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