随机产出和紧急订购价格下基于期权契约的供应链生产与订购策略

发布时间：2018-01-31 07:29

本文关键词： 随机产出双向期权契约供应链　出处：《工业工程》2015年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：针对一个由制造商-零售商组成的双层供应链系统,假定产品的终端市场需求与生产制造环节均存在随机不确定性,零售商在销售期之前采用双向期权契约向制造商订货,在销售期内市场需求实现之后还可向制造商发起紧急订购,紧急订购价受当时市场供需环境的影响也将表现出随机变动性。在此基础上,建立了双向期权契约机制下供应链上下游之间的博弈决策模型,研究了制造商的最佳生产计划与零售商的最优订购策略;并通过详细的数值算例揭示了双向期权契约参数的变化、终端市场需求的不确定性、成品产出的随机波动性以及紧急订购价的变动性对供应链上下游企业运作策略及运营绩效的影响。
[Abstract]:For a two-layer supply chain system composed of manufacturers and retailers, it is assumed that there are stochastic uncertainties in the end market demand and the manufacturing process of the products. The retailer orders to the manufacturer with a two-way option contract before the sales period, and can initiate an emergency order to the manufacturer after the market demand is realized during the sales period. On the basis of this, a game decision model between upstream and downstream of supply chain under the mechanism of two-way option contract is established. The optimal production plan of the manufacturer and the optimal ordering strategy of the retailer are studied. And through the detailed numerical examples to reveal the change of the parameters of the two-way option contract, the uncertainty of the terminal market demand. The effect of random volatility of finished product output and the volatility of emergency order price on the operation strategy and operation performance of the upstream and downstream enterprises in the supply chain.
【作者单位】：浙江师范大学产业经济研究中心;浙江师范大学行知学院;华南理工大学工商管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71402171;71131003) 教育部人文社科基金青年资助项目(13YJC630075;15YJC630053) 浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(LY14G020004)
【分类号】：F274
【正文快照】： 近年来随着全球化竞争的加剧,越来越多的企业会选择生产外包。实施此类业务外包的企业可获得集中精力发展核心竞争力,降低企业运营成本,分担风险和增加市场柔性等多种优势。这方面典型的企业如波音、耐克和苹果等知名公司。然而,企业将生产环节外包给全球合作伙伴时,由于缺乏

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