具有风险规避的库存供应链协调模型研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 15:54

本文选题：博弈论　切入点：随机需求　出处：《合肥工业大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着环保意识的加强以及对自然资源节约的强烈关注，各国政府纷纷加大法律措施要求企业必须重视废旧物品的回收再利用.意识到可持续发展带来的重大利益，，企业对废弃物品的回收处理更是显得格外重要.一方面，企业发现对废旧产品的回收再制造在降低企业自身生产成本，增加经济效益的同时，间接会对企业的外部形象有巨大的影响，可以提高企业自身的良好口碑;另一方面，回收再制造还可以起到保护环境的目的，积极响应政府的号召，实现环境和经济效益的双赢局面。本文首先利用应用博弈论理论探讨了随机需求下,在由一个风险中性的制造商和风险规避的销售商组成的闭环供应链中;提出的收益费用共享契约的供应链协调，主要是：1）考虑代理具有风险规避情况下缩短订货交付时间的库存系统;2)具有风险规避销售商的闭环供应链协调模型。最后,利用数值仿真分析研究了风险规避度对供应链中各成员的定价策略以及利润的影响,并得出一些重要的管理启示:(1)销售商市场行为越保守，销售价格就越低。(2)销售商如果不能很好地将风险转移而一味地保守自己的行为只会让自己的利益受损。(3)制造商不会因为销售商行为的保守程度增大让自己的利润降低，反而制造商的利润会增加。
[Abstract]:With the strengthening of environmental protection consciousness and the strong concern for the conservation of natural resources, the governments of various countries have stepped up legal measures to require enterprises to attach importance to the recycling and reuse of waste goods.Realizing the great benefits of sustainable development, it is very important for enterprises to recycle waste materials.On the one hand, enterprises find that recycling and remanufacturing of waste products can reduce the production cost of enterprises and increase economic benefits, while indirectly has a huge impact on the external image of enterprises, and can improve the good reputation of enterprises themselves;On the other hand, recycling and remanufacturing can also protect the environment, respond positively to the call of the government, and realize the win-win situation of environment and economic benefits.In this paper, we first use the game theory to discuss the supply chain coordination of a risk-neutral manufacturer and a risk-averse seller in the supply chain under stochastic demand, the proposed revenue-cost sharing contract.The main one is: (1) inventory system considering agent with risk aversion to shorten order delivery time) closed-loop supply chain coordination model with risk aversion seller.Finally, the effects of risk aversion on the pricing strategy and profit of each member in the supply chain are studied by numerical simulation, and some important management implications: 1) the more conservative the seller's market behavior, the more conservative the market behavior is.The lower the selling price, the lower the seller will be.) if the seller can't transfer the risk very well and keep his behavior to the detriment of his own interests, the manufacturer will not lower his profit by increasing the conservatism of the seller's behavior.Instead, the manufacturer's profits will increase.
【学位授予单位】：合肥工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F274

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