基于供给稳定性及布局的木材流通研究

发布时间：2018-04-21 04:45

本文选题：木材流通 + 供给稳定性　；参考：《北京林业大学》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：木材流通连接着木材资源的生产和消费,木材资源能否高效、稳定、合理的进入消费领域,满足木材产业发展的需求取决于木材流通。因此研究国内木材流通对解决中国木材产业发展的资源基础和产业调整问题具有非常重要的意义。本文的研究目的在于构建国内木材流通研究的分析框架,提出研究国内木材流通问题要从木材资源供给稳定性及布局合理的角度进行研究。木材流通涉及面非常广泛,在限定了本文的研究范围后,首先对木材流通所连接的木材资源生产以及木材生产消费进行分析,特别是针对生产和消费的布局进行分析,提出木材供给、木材生产和加工的分布以及木材产业发展水平会影响木材流通的三条假设。第四章在国内原木生产分析的基础上,通过对原木供给关系形成的数学描述,判断原木供给关系稳定的影响因素,然后建立原木产量模型,用计量经济学的方法判断原木产量稳定性的影响因素。第五章从原木进口的角度分析供给来源的稳定,通过稳定性指数测算,分析进口木材来源的稳定性与否,并建立原木进口模型实证分析原木进口量的影响因素。第六章运用线性规划模型优化木材流通布局,规范分析木材流通布局是否合理。第七章从国内木材供给稳定、进口木材来源稳定以及木材流通布局优化的角度提出可付之实施的保障木材流通高效运行的解决方案和政策建议。研究结果表明,影响国内木材供给稳定性的是森林资源蓄积增长量和限额采伐政策；影响原木进口来源稳定的主要是进口来源国家的政治风险指数、森林资源的开发利用水平以及贸易自由度；合理的、有效率的木材流通应该是木材流入省份的木材需求刚好能够全部满足,木材流出省份的木材流出量刚好等于木材的净供给量；木材流通密集的地区应该有规范化的木材流通市场；产业发展趋势应该向着原料基地的方向发展。最后针对上述结论提出保证木材供给稳定以及木材流通布局优化的政策建议。本研究的创新点主要有两个：从研究角度的选择上来看,将西方经济学的流通理论、马克思主义流通理论、现代流通理论以及和流通相关的效率理论、供应链理论,纳入流通研究的框架下,形成流通研究的新角度。基于供给及布局的流通研究这个新角度所研究的木材流通,既可以用来分析资源供给与木材流通的关系,还可以分析木材资源有效供给后对木材产业发展的影响,成为木材产业研究的一个组成部分,填补了现有木材产业研究中关于木材流通研究的空白,为研究木材流通的提供了新的研究角度。从解决问题的思路上来看,将运筹学中的线性规划引入木材流通布局研究,根据木材生产与消费分布的特点,设计目标函数及假设条件,形成适用于木材流通研究的线性规划模型。运用这种有针对性设计的线性规划模型,规范分析木材流通布局最优化时的木材生产与消费的布局结构,探讨木材流通应该怎样布局,丰富了木材流通研究的方法。
[Abstract]:Wood circulation connects with the production and consumption of wood resources. Can timber resources be efficient, stable and reasonable into the consumption field, and the demand for the development of wood industry depends on the circulation of wood. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the circulation of wood in China to solve the resource base and industrial adjustment of the development of China's timber industry.
The purpose of this study is to build an analytical framework for the domestic wood circulation research, and put forward that the study of the problem of wood circulation in China should be studied from the perspective of the stability of the timber supply and the rational distribution of timber. Analysis of production and timber production and consumption, especially for the distribution of production and consumption, the distribution of timber supply, wood production and processing, and the three assumptions that the development level of wood industry will affect the circulation of wood. The fourth chapter, based on the analysis of domestic log production, through the mathematics of the relationship between the supply of logs and the supply of logs. In the fifth chapter, the stability of the supply source is analyzed from the point of log import, and the stability of the imported timber sources is analyzed and the original model is established. The sixth chapter uses linear programming model to optimize the distribution of wood circulation and standardize the rational distribution of wood distribution. The seventh chapter puts forward the guarantee of wood flow from the stability of the domestic timber supply, the stability of the imported wood sources and the optimization of the distribution of wood distribution. Solutions and policy recommendations for efficient operation.
The results show that the stability of the domestic timber supply is the growth of forest resources and the policy of cutting down, and the political risk index, the level of development and utilization of the forest resources and the degree of trade freedom are the main factors affecting the source of the timber import, and the rational and efficient timber circulation should be wood. The timber demand in the province is exactly satisfied. The amount of wood outflow in the province is just equal to the net supply of wood; the area with dense timber circulation should have a standardized timber circulation market; the trend of industrial development should be directed towards the direction of the raw material base. Finally, the supply of wood is provided to ensure the supply of wood. Policy recommendations for stability and optimization of timber distribution layout.
There are two main innovations in this study.
From the perspective of the study, the circulation theory of western economics, the theory of Marx's circulation, the modern circulation theory and the efficiency theory related to circulation, supply chain theory, into the framework of circulation research, form a new angle of circulation research. The wood based on the new angle of circulation research based on supply and distribution Circulation can be used to analyze the relationship between the supply of resources and the circulation of wood, and to analyze the impact of the effective supply of wood resources on the development of wood industry. It has become a part of the wood industry research. It fills the gap in the study of wood circulation in the current research of wood industry and provides a new research for the study of wood circulation. Angle.
From the idea of solving the problem, linear programming in operational research is introduced into the study of wood circulation layout. According to the characteristics of wood production and consumption distribution, the objective function and hypothesis are designed to form a linear programming model suitable for the study of wood circulation. The layout and structure of timber production and consumption when the layout is optimized, and how the layout of timber circulation should be discussed will enrich the research methods of timber circulation.

【学位授予单位】：北京林业大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.88

【参考文献】