低碳政策不确定下不对等供应链协调研究

发布时间：2018-06-26 21:49

本文选题：低碳政策 + 碳税　；参考：《天津大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：全球气候变化问题引发世界范围对于发展低碳经济的关注。发展低碳经济,履行节能减排义务不只是发达国家的义务,作为世界最大的发展中国家,我国也向世界承诺履行相应的减排义务。发展低碳经济为我国经济转型提供了机遇,同时也对政府如何有效制定相应低碳政策,以及企业尤其是供应链中各个主体企业如何应对提出了挑战。目前,我国尚未全面实行低碳政策,政策制定上以及政策执行程度上尚存在着诸多不确定性因素,该种不确定因素对于低碳经济时代的供应链管理影响具有一定的现实研究意义。本文在低碳经济的背景下,站在我国目前低碳政策现状的角度,运用新古典经济学庇古税理论、新制度经济学科斯产权理论、供应链协调理论,以及博弈论的研究方法,对低碳政策中政策工具的不确定性和政策干预强度不确定性对于供应链主体影响进行分析。通过建立征收碳税和碳交易制度下集中决策供应链对比模型以及政策强度不确定性下信息不对等供应链博弈模型,深入探讨低碳政策不确定下集中决策供应链以及供应链内部主体之间协调的问题,并分别进行数值分析验证模型结论。本文主要结论如下:1.不同低碳政策工具对于供应链决策和绩效影响不同,但政府政策将会抑制产量和减排决策以及总利润和总减排效果。2.不对等供应链形成机理:规模、关键资源(生产性资源、客户渠道资源等)控制以外,信息获取和解读能力上的差异也会导致供应链不对等的形成。3.剔除机制设计影响,政府政策干预强度与供应链主体减排投资决策近似呈线性关系。4.在政府低碳政策干预强度不确定情况下,对于政策预测的信息共享能够使供应链总利润得以提升,但是信息共享需要主体之间利益协调才能够达成。
[Abstract]:Global climate change has aroused worldwide concern for the development of a low-carbon economy. To develop low-carbon economy, to fulfill the obligation of energy saving and emission reduction is not only the obligation of developed countries. As the largest developing country in the world, our country also promises to fulfill the corresponding obligation of emission reduction to the world. The development of low-carbon economy provides opportunities for China's economic transformation, and challenges how the government can effectively formulate the corresponding low-carbon policies, and how enterprises, especially the main enterprises in the supply chain, can deal with the problems. At present, our country has not fully implemented the low-carbon policy, and there are still many uncertain factors in the policy formulation and the degree of policy implementation. This kind of uncertainty has certain practical significance for the influence of supply chain management in the low carbon economy era. Based on the background of low-carbon economy and the current situation of low-carbon policy in China, this paper applies the Pigou tax theory of neoclassical economics, the Coase property right theory of new institutional economics, the coordination theory of supply chain, and the research methods of game theory. The uncertainty of policy tools and the uncertainty of policy intervention intensity in low carbon policy are analyzed. Through the establishment of carbon tax and carbon trading system under the centralized decision-making supply chain contrast model and policy intensity uncertainty information unequal supply chain game model. In this paper, the problems of coordination between the supply chain and the agents within the supply chain under the uncertainty of low carbon policy are discussed, and the conclusions of the model are verified by numerical analysis. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1. Different low-carbon policy tools have different effects on supply chain decision-making and performance, but government policies will inhibit output and emission reduction decisions, as well as total profits and total emission reduction effects. The formation mechanism of unequal supply chain: apart from the control of scale, key resources (productive resources, customer channel resources, etc.), the differences in the ability of information acquisition and interpretation will also lead to the formation of unequal supply chain. Excluding the influence of mechanism design, there is a linear relationship between the intensity of government policy intervention and the decision of supply chain main body to reduce emissions. Under the uncertainty of the government's low carbon policy intervention intensity, the information sharing of the policy prediction can increase the total profit of the supply chain, but the information sharing needs the benefit coordination among the main bodies to achieve.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F274

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