人民币汇率变动对我国出口贸易结构的影响

发布时间：2018-02-24 05:43

本文关键词： 人民币实际有效汇率汇率升值出口贸易结构协整检验　出处：《华东师范大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：贸易结构是一国对外贸易的基础组成部分,与经济发展状况息息相关；而汇率作为体现一国国际竞争力的综合指标,在国际贸易中起着价格转换的职能,从而成为调节一国贸易收支的重要工具。自改革开放以来,我国对外贸易取得长足发展,中国对外贸易已经成为世界贸易的最重要的组成部分之一；人民币汇率制度经过两次改革,已经基本形成以市场供求为基础、单一的、有管理的浮动汇率制。本文在参考前人研究的基础上,介绍了贸易与汇率传统理论和我国目前贸易结构的基本情况,利用SITC分类数据和协整检验的方法验证了人民币实际有效汇率变动对我国出口商品结构的影响。实证结果表明,人民币实际有效汇率变动对不同产业有不同影响,说明人民币实际有效汇率的升值可以促进我国产业结构升级优化。在文章最后,从完善汇率制度和产业结构两方面对我国贸易结构的优化提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Trade structure is the basic part of a country's foreign trade, which is closely related to the state of economic development. As a comprehensive indicator of a country's international competitiveness, the exchange rate plays the role of price conversion in international trade. Since the reform and opening up, China's foreign trade has made great progress, China's foreign trade has become one of the most important components of world trade; After two reforms, the RMB exchange rate system has basically formed a single, managed floating exchange rate system based on market supply and demand. On the basis of previous studies, this paper introduces the traditional theory of trade and exchange rate and the basic situation of China's current trade structure. By using the SITC classification data and cointegration test, this paper verifies the influence of the real effective exchange rate of RMB on the structure of China's export commodities. The empirical results show that the change of the real effective exchange rate of RMB has different effects on different industries. It shows that the appreciation of the real effective exchange rate of RMB can promote the upgrading and optimization of China's industrial structure. At the end of the paper, policy suggestions on the optimization of China's trade structure are put forward from the aspects of perfecting exchange rate system and industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.62;F224

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