我国企业对外直接投资风险及预警机制研究

发布时间：2018-03-11 07:53

本文选题：对外直接投资　切入点：投资风险　出处：《山东财经大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近年来，受我国“走出去”战略的影响和国内经济平稳快速发展的推动，我国企业加快了对外直接投资的步伐，对外直接投资规模不断扩大，为企业带来了一定的经济效益。但是海外投资环境比较复杂，存在诸多风险因素，如政治风险和市场风险等，在进行海外投资经营过程中，企业内部也存在许多风险，如经营风险、管理风险和技术风险等，这就要求企业具有良好的风险意识和较强的风险管理能力。本文正文共分为六章，从整体框架上来看，可以分为四个部分。第一部分首先通过阐述我国企业对外直接投资风险问题的研究背景以及关于此问题的研究现状，并对论文的框架作简单描述，以明确各章之间的关系。第二部分对企业对外直接投资风险的一般含义和特征作简要分析，并阐述我国企业对外直接投资现状、模式及存在的问题，，并以此为基础，对我国企业对外直接投资风险进行大致分类。结合我国企业对外直接投资的现状和风险分类情况，结合2010年吉利收购沃尔沃轿车这一典型案例，对我国对外直接投资的主要风险进行分类辨识。根据上文对我国企业对外直接投资风险的辨识和分类，详细分析各类风险的成因。第三部分初步建立我国企业对外直接投资风险辨识和动态预警机制，构建企业风险预警组织机构和运行机制，并运用模糊数学方法对风险因素影响程度加以分析并进行实证研究。第四部分在对我国企业对外直接投资风险分类辨识，分析其形成原因，并建立风险预警机制的基础上，针对不同类型的风险提出相应的风险规避措施。本文在借鉴国际经验的基础上，结合我国企业对外直接投资现状和存在的问题，提出适合我国企业对外直接投资风险防范的风险管理对策，但由于风险预警模型具有一定的限制条件，因而在实际应用中要因地制宜。
[Abstract]:In recent years, driven by China's "going out" strategy and the domestic economy steady and rapid development, China's enterprises to accelerate the pace of foreign direct investment, foreign direct investment scale is continually expanding, bring certain economic benefits for the enterprise. But overseas investment environment is complex, there are many risk factors, such as political risk and market risk, in the process of overseas investment management, many enterprises have risks, such as business risk, management risk and technical risk, which requires companies with good risk awareness and strong risk management capabilities.
This paper is divided into six chapters, from the whole framework, can be divided into four parts. The first part firstly demonstrates the research background of the risk of foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises and the status of research on this problem, and the framework of this paper is a brief description to the relationship between the various chapters.
The general meaning and characteristics of the second part of the risk of foreign direct investment are briefly analyzed, and expounds the present situation of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment mode, and the existing problems, and on this basis, are classified to Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk. Combined with the status quo and risk classification of foreign direct investment of Chinese enterprises. This is a typical case in 2010 with Geely's acquisition of Volvo cars, for classification and identification of the main risks of China's foreign direct investment. According to the above classification and identification of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk, detailed analysis of the causes of various risks.
The third part establishes the risk identification and dynamic early warning mechanism of China's foreign direct investment, and constructs enterprise risk early warning organization and operation mechanism. The fuzzy mathematics method is applied to analyze the risk factors and make an empirical research.
The fourth part classifying and identifying the risk of Chinese foreign direct investment, analyzing the causes of its formation, and building a risk early warning mechanism, and putting forward the corresponding risk aversion measures for different types of risks.
In this paper, based on the international experience, combined with China's foreign direct investment enterprise current situation and existing problems, put forward countermeasures for the risk management of Chinese enterprises' foreign direct investment risk, but the risk early-warning model has certain limitations, so that in the practical application to local conditions.

【学位授予单位】：山东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F279.2;F832.6;F224

【参考文献】