我国近年通货膨胀成因分析及治理对策

发布时间：2018-03-11 08:05

本文选题：通货膨胀　切入点：货币流通量　出处：《吉林财经大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：与居民生活、消费息息相关，直接反应通货膨胀程度的居民消费价格指数（CPI）几乎成了2007年以来我国最受关注的数字。特别是2008年以来，世界各国政府和中央银行为应对全球经济危机带来的影响和问题，都采取了各种各样的经济刺激政策，在一定程度上阻止了经济形势的恶化，加快了全球经济复苏的脚步，但同时也导致了各国通货膨胀风险的加大。中国作为世界舞台上的一枝独秀，亚洲最活跃的经济体之一，也难独善其身。在国内经济强劲复苏的同时也受到了通货膨胀问题的困扰。2010年以来，，受国内外多重因素影响，我国以农产品为主的生活必需品价格上涨较快，消费者价格指数逐月攀升，通货膨胀预期增强，通胀压力加大，百姓生活受到严重影响。因此，如何正确认识并有效预防和治理通货膨胀，对于推动中国经济持续、健康、平稳、较快发展，具有重要的现实意义。本文正是基于这一背景试展开较为深入的研究。全文以马克思经济学为指导，运用归纳法和定量分析与定性分析相结合等研究方法，以中国当前发生的通货膨胀为研究对象，对我国通货膨胀产生的原因进行系统分析，并提出了相应的治理对策。首先，梳理了通货膨胀相关理论。马克思从科学的劳动价值理论出发，考察并揭示了货币数量、生产价格、市场需求与市场价格水平的内在联系，系统且全面的阐述了现代通货膨胀的基本思想。作为凯恩斯学派和货币学派领袖的凯恩斯与弗里德曼所提出的通货膨胀理论及治理对策至今仍为各国所用，对我国通胀研究也具有借鉴意义。其次，回顾我国通胀历史、研究通胀现状及产生原因。当前通货膨胀成因复杂，有国际输入性因素也有国内因素。基于西方经济学家们的通货膨胀理论可从货币因素、供需因素、结构因素等方面探讨通货膨胀成因。最后，基于马克思的通货膨胀理论，要抑制通货膨胀，必须遵循货币流通规律，归根结底要发展生产。本文从中国实际出发，针对我国目前通货膨胀的成因提出了相应的治理对策，如控制货币流通量、建立稳定物价的长效机制、优化经济结构、扩大内需、财政政策与货币政策相结合等等。稳定好当前通胀形势，为预防下一轮通胀做好充分准备。
[Abstract]:The consumer price index (CPI), which directly reflects the degree of inflation, has become the most concerned figure in China since 2007, especially since 2008. Governments and central banks around the world have adopted various kinds of economic stimulus policies to cope with the impact and problems brought about by the global economic crisis, which to a certain extent has prevented the deterioration of the economic situation and accelerated the pace of global economic recovery. But it has also led to an increase in the risk of inflation across the world. China is one of Asia's most dynamic economies, the dominant economy on the world stage. It is hard to get away from it. While the domestic economy is recovering strongly, it is also plagued by inflation. Since 2010, under the influence of many factors at home and abroad, the prices of the necessities of life, mainly agricultural products, have risen more rapidly in our country. The consumer price index rises month by month, inflation expectations increase, inflationary pressure increases, and people's lives are seriously affected. Therefore, how to correctly understand and effectively prevent and control inflation will contribute to the sustained and healthy Chinese economy. Stable, rapid development, has important practical significance. This paper is based on this background to carry out a more in-depth study. Guided by Marxist economics, this paper uses the methods of induction, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to study the current inflation in China. This paper makes a systematic analysis of the causes of inflation in China, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures. Firstly, it combs the relevant theories of inflation. Marx, proceeding from the scientific theory of labor value, examines and reveals the quantity of money. The internal relationship between production price, market demand and market price level, As the leader of Keynesian school and monetary school, Keynes and Friedman put forward the inflation theory and its countermeasures, which are still used by all countries. Second, review the history of inflation in China, study the current situation of inflation and its causes. There are both international and domestic factors. Based on the inflation theory of Western economists, we can discuss the causes of inflation from the aspects of monetary factors, supply and demand factors, structural factors, etc. Finally, based on Marx's inflation theory, In order to control inflation, we must follow the law of currency circulation and, in the final analysis, develop production. This paper, proceeding from the reality of China, puts forward corresponding countermeasures against the causes of inflation in our country at present, such as controlling the circulation of money. We should establish a long-term mechanism to stabilize prices, optimize economic structure, expand domestic demand, combine fiscal policy with monetary policy, and so on, so as to stabilize the current inflation situation and make adequate preparations for preventing the next round of inflation.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F822.5

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