FDI对我国物流业产业效应的实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-18 15:45

本文选题：物流产业　切入点：FDI　出处：《海南大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济全球化使得物流业在现代社会发展中发挥着极为重要的作用,从20世纪70年代改革开放至今的40年间,我国的经济社会尤其是交通运输等基础设施建设方面迅速改善,居民的生活、消费水平也明显有所提高,物流业已经逐渐成为我国国民经济发展的重要组成部分。但是我们也看到物流业在不断进步的同时一直存在问题,具体来说包括物流成本长期居高不下,信息技术化水平较低,第三方物流不能满足市场需求,区域物流发展、物流园区建设还需进一步提高等,物流业整体发展水平的滞后制约着我国经济社会的快速发展。而随着我国不断推进对外开放进程,外资的大规模流入密切影响着我国产业的发展,目前外商投资也已成为推动我国物流业发展的重要外部资源之一。尤其是加入WTO后,我国物流业逐步开放,作为链接经济全球化纽带的外商直接投资企业在推动我国物流业的发展中更是发挥了举足轻重的作用。为此我们可以从FDI角度寻求推进我国物流业发展措施。文章主体可以分为五个部分。第一部分是绪论,主要介绍了论文的研究目的、意义、研究思路和方法、创新之处等；第二部分主要总结了FDI的有关理论、FDI与产业发展及外部效应研究、物流业的相关理论和文献综述；第三部分主要是介绍我国物流业的概况,以及FDI进入我国物流业的现状、特点和问题；第四部分是实证分析,选取了本文研究FDI产业效应的指标,并介绍了灰关联分析的理论和计算公式,然后基于2002-2010年的数据进行实证分析,得出结论；最后一部分是根据基本结论以及物流业发展存在的问题提出政策建议。在实证分析中,本文先对FDI的产业效应进行定性分析,从理论角度为实证分析奠定基础。然后通过利用灰色关联分析法定量分析FDI对我国物流业的产业效应,主要选取了物流增加值、固定资产投资额、人均劳动生产率、社会物流总成本、第二和第三产业比重、就业情况、区位商等可以量化的重要指标分析FDI对我国物流业产业效应。通过分析表明FDI对我国物流业存在资本形成效应、技术溢出效应、结构调整效应、就业效应、产业集聚效应,并按照影响程度的大小对这些效应指标进行分析,进而得出结论。同时,本文还结合定量和定性分析、横向和纵向分析、综合和具体分析的分析方法,对我国物流业发展的现状和引入FDI的情况进行研究,并分析了其中存在的问题,最后综合定性分析和定量分析明确FDI对物流业的产业效应,提出了我国物流业应当从创造良好投资环境、提升物流业利用FDI水平、培育发展我国本土物流企业等方面改善物流业引资状况,从而促进我国物流业做大做强。
[Abstract]:Economic globalization makes the logistics industry play an extremely important role in the development of modern society. In the 40 years since the reform and opening up in 1970s, China's economy and society, especially the infrastructure construction, such as transportation, have improved rapidly. Residents' living and consumption levels have also improved significantly, and the logistics industry has gradually become an important part of the national economic development in China. However, we also see that the logistics industry has always had problems while it is making continuous progress. Specifically, the logistics costs remain high for a long time, the level of information technology is relatively low, the third party logistics cannot meet the market demand, the development of regional logistics and the construction of logistics parks need to be further improved. The lag of the overall development level of logistics industry restricts the rapid development of China's economy and society. However, with the continuous promotion of the process of opening to the outside world, the large-scale inflow of foreign capital has a close impact on the development of China's industry. At present, foreign investment has also become one of the important external resources to promote the development of China's logistics industry, especially after China's entry into WTO, the logistics industry of our country has gradually opened up. As a link of economic globalization, foreign direct investment enterprises play an important role in promoting the development of logistics industry in China. Therefore, we can seek measures to promote the development of logistics industry in China from the perspective of FDI. The main body of the article can be divided into five parts. The first part is the introduction, which mainly introduces the research purpose, significance, research ideas and methods, innovation and so on; The second part mainly summarizes the theory of FDI and the research of industry development and external effect, the related theory and literature review of logistics industry, the third part mainly introduces the general situation of China's logistics industry and the current situation of FDI entering our country's logistics industry. Part 4th is an empirical analysis, which selects the index of this paper to study the industrial effect of FDI, introduces the theory and calculation formula of grey correlation analysis, and then makes an empirical analysis based on the data from 2002 to 2010, and draws a conclusion. The last part is based on the basic conclusions and logistics industry development problems put forward policy recommendations. In the empirical analysis, this paper first carries on the qualitative analysis to the FDI industry effect, from the theory angle establishes the foundation for the empirical analysis, then uses the gray relational analysis method to analyze quantitatively the FDI to our country logistics industry industrial effect. It mainly selects the added value of logistics, the investment of fixed assets, the per capita labor productivity, the total cost of social logistics, the proportion of the second and third industries, and the employment situation. This paper analyzes the effect of FDI on the logistics industry of our country by analyzing the important quantitative indexes such as location quotient. It shows that there are capital formation effect, technology spillover effect, structure adjustment effect, employment effect and industrial agglomeration effect of FDI on our country's logistics industry. At the same time, this paper also combines quantitative and qualitative analysis, horizontal and vertical analysis, comprehensive and specific analysis methods. The present situation of logistics industry in China and the introduction of FDI are studied, and the existing problems are analyzed. Finally, the effects of FDI on the industry of logistics industry are analyzed and analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively. This paper puts forward that the logistics industry of our country should improve the situation of attracting capital from the aspects of creating a good investment environment, improving the level of utilization of FDI, cultivating and developing the local logistics enterprises and so on, so as to promote the development of the logistics industry in our country.
【学位授予单位】：海南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F259.2;F224

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