河北农村金融发展与农村经济增长相关性实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-21 05:04

本文选题：河北　切入点：农村金融　出处：《中南林业科技大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：农村经济的增长离不开农村金融的支持。一个良好的能够适合农村经济发展的农村金融体系,将对农村经济发展起非常重要的作用；农村金融如果发展不足,则将阻碍农村经济的健康发展。就当前形式来看,我国大部分农村地区金融体系发展都不完善,严重阻碍了农村经济的发展。随着我国农村经济改革的进一步深化,农村金融服务的这种供求矛盾关系也将更加突显出来。因此,只有逐步消除阻碍农村金融发展的各种因素,农村经济才能得到更好更快的发展。本文以农业大省河北作为研究背景,以河北农村金融如何影响农村经济的发展为主要研究内容。本文的出发点是河北农村金融发展和农村经济增长的现状,通过建立河北省农村金融发展指标体系和农村经济增长指标,经过单位根检验、协整检验、向量误差修正模型、Granger因果检验分析,得出河北省的农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,河北农村金融发展变量不是农村经济增长变量的Granger原因,但河北农村经济增长变量是农村金融发展变量的Granger原因。这说明,河北省农村金融的发展并没有起到促进农村经济增长的作用；相反,河北农村经济增长对农村金融起到了一定的促进作用,由此可以看出,河北省农村金融发展并没有发挥出“供给主导”的作用,而是处于“需求遵从”的地位,这体现了河北省农村金融发展在一定程度上滞后于农村经济的增长。本文分析了只有健全河北农村金融服务体系,优化河北农村地区金融机构,提高河北农村金融服务效率,培育良好的农村金融环境,才能使农村金融改革更好地发挥其促进河北省农村经济增长的作用。
[Abstract]:The growth of rural economy can not be separated from the support of rural finance. A good rural financial system that is suitable for the development of rural economy will play a very important role in the development of rural economy. It will hinder the healthy development of the rural economy. In terms of the current situation, the financial system in most rural areas of our country is not perfect, which seriously hinders the development of the rural economy. With the further deepening of the rural economic reform in our country, The contradiction between supply and demand of rural financial services will be more prominent. Therefore, only by gradually eliminating the various factors hindering the development of rural finance, can rural economy get better and faster development. This paper takes Hebei Province as the research background and how the rural finance affects the development of the rural economy. The starting point of this paper is the present situation of the rural financial development and the rural economic growth in Hebei. Through the establishment of Hebei Province rural financial development index system and rural economic growth index, through unit root test, cointegration test, vector error correction model Granger causality test analysis, It is concluded that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between rural financial development and rural economic growth in Hebei Province, and that the variables of rural financial development in Hebei Province are not the Granger reasons of rural economic growth variables. However, the rural economic growth variable in Hebei is the Granger cause of the rural financial development variable. This shows that the development of rural finance in Hebei Province has not played a role in promoting rural economic growth; on the contrary, Hebei's rural economic growth has played a certain role in promoting rural finance. From this, it can be seen that the development of rural finance in Hebei Province does not play a "supply-oriented" role, but is in the position of "compliance with demand". This reflects the development of rural finance in Hebei Province lags behind the growth of rural economy to a certain extent. This paper analyzes that only by perfecting the rural financial service system of Hebei, optimizing the financial institutions in rural areas of Hebei, improving the efficiency of rural financial services in Hebei, cultivating a good rural financial environment, In order to make the rural financial reform play a better role in promoting the rural economic growth in Hebei Province.
【学位授予单位】：中南林业科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.35;F327;F224

【引证文献】