人民币国际化的风险及控制研究

发布时间：2018-03-23 02:23

本文选题：人民币国际化　切入点：货币危机　出处：《天津财经大学》2012年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：2010年,中国GDP总额首次超过日本成为世界第二大经济体,中国在世界的经济地位大幅提升。自2011年8月以来,跨境贸易人民币结算业务范围从境内地域扩展至全国。此外,通过全面开展对外直接投资和外商直接投资人民币结算业务,跨境人民币业务从经常项目扩展至部分资本项目。人民币国际化的现实基础越来越坚实。此外,国际金融危机之后,美国推出的量化宽松政策使得美元在世界的公信力不断下降,欧元区域的债务危机使得人们忧心忡忡,国际金融形势正在发生着变化。至此,人民币成为了全世界关注的焦点,推进人民币国际化成为了亟待解决的重大战略课题。为了顺应人民币国际化的趋势,中国政府在2011年3月举行的全国人大会议上正式宣布要推进人民币国际化。人民币国际化是一个风险与收益并存的过程。文章试图通过研究得出人民币国际化存在的各种风险并提出相应的风险控制建议。论文立足于当前形势,着眼于现实,在学习世界主要国家货币国际化历程和风险控制的基础上,归纳得出了货币国际化风险控制的启示。同时,文章以货币竞争理论、三元悖论、货币危机理论等理论为基础,具体分析人民币国际化可能带来的风险。文章将人民币国际化的风险分为宏观风险和微观风险两大部分。最后,在全面分析人民币国际化各种风险的基础上,结合美元、日元、欧元国际化过程中的风险控制启示和中国的具体情况,文章提出了控制风险下的人民币国际化推进原则：循序渐进原则、合理目标原则和点面结合原则,并针对人民币国际化的宏观风险和微观风险分别提出了人民币国际化风险控制的宏观体系建设和微观体系建设的建议。
[Abstract]:In 2010, for the first time, China overtook Japan to become the world's second-largest economy, and China's economic position in the world has risen dramatically. Since August 2011, cross-border trade renminbi settlement business has expanded from territory to country. Through the comprehensive development of RMB settlement business of foreign direct investment and foreign direct investment, cross-border RMB business has expanded from the current account to part of the capital account. The realistic foundation for RMB internationalization is becoming more and more solid. In addition, After the international financial crisis, the United States launched quantitative easing policy to make the dollar's credibility in the world continue to decline, the euro region's debt crisis caused people to worry, the international financial situation is changing. The RMB has become the focus of attention all over the world, and promoting the internationalization of RMB has become a major strategic issue to be solved urgently. In order to conform to the trend of RMB internationalization, The Chinese government formally announced its intention to internationalize the yuan at the National people's Congress in March 2011. The internationalization of RMB is a process of coexistence of risk and profit. This paper tries to find out all kinds of risks existing in RMB internationalization and put forward corresponding risk control suggestions through research. The thesis is based on the current situation and focuses on the reality. On the basis of studying the course of currency internationalization and risk control of major countries in the world, the paper summarizes the enlightenment of risk control in currency internationalization. Meanwhile, the paper bases on the theories of currency competition, ternary paradox, currency crisis, etc. The article divides the risk of RMB internationalization into two parts: macro risk and micro risk. Finally, on the basis of comprehensive analysis of various risks of RMB internationalization, combined with US dollar and Japanese yen, Risk control in the process of euro internationalization and China's specific situation, this paper puts forward the principles of RMB internationalization under the control of risk: progressive principle, reasonable goal principle and point combination principle. According to the macro risk and micro risk of RMB internationalization, the suggestions of macro system construction and micro system construction of RMB internationalization risk control are put forward respectively.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6

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