浙江省政府公共投资效率评价方法与实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-26 22:21

本文选题：政府公共投资　切入点：政府公共投资效率　出处：《安徽财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：政府公共投资作为社会总投资的重要组成部分,是国民经济的重要推动力量,在国家的经济社会发展过程中扮演着极其关键的角色。其对弥补市场缺陷、调节经济运行以及实现政府宏观调控等都有着重要的影响力,已越来越受到各国的重视。 2008年席卷而来的全球性的金融危机导致近年来欧美经济持续疲软,以市场为导向的经济发展模式不断受到人们的质疑,而政府公共投资也逐渐成为扭转这一局面的重要举措。如何通过加强铁路、公路、电力等基础设施的建设发挥政府的作用,“撬动”民间投资,扩大内需,从而应对严峻的经济危机已成为目前大家所关注的重点,也逐渐成为各国经济决策的重要内容。与此同时,相对缺失市场竞争机制的政府公共投资项目是否能够发挥其应有的功效,这就牵涉到了政府投资效率的问题,也正是本文探讨的重点。由于浙江省是一个国内经济发展大省且其民营经济发展迅速,近年来浙江省政府也始终重视利用政府公共投资的扩张效应来带动经济的增长,所以本文以浙江省政府公共投资的实证研究为主轴来分析政府公共投资的效率问题具有较强的研究意义。文章主要分成三个部分：首先,对文中的重要的概念进行界定,阐述了政府公共投资和政府公共投资效率的内涵；界定了政府公共投资的范围；列举了影响政府公共投资的因素。然后,运用“柯布-道格拉斯”生产函数法对产出效率进行实证分析,得出浙江省政府公共投资对经济增长存在着促进作用的结论；运用时间序列协整方法对规模效率进行实证分析,得出浙江省政府公共投资的实际规模小于最优规模,仍有较大发展空间的结论；运用各个行业的投资占GDP的比重和GDP的增速的线性关系研究公共投资的结构效率,得出浙江省应加大电力、燃气及水的生产和供应以及卫生、社会保障和社会福利等方面的政府公共投资的结论。最后,结合前文所述的理论和实证分析找出浙江省政府公共投资存在的问题并针对问题给出了提高浙江省政府公共投资的对策与意见。
[Abstract]:As an important part of the total social investment, government public investment is an important driving force of the national economy and plays a crucial role in the national economic and social development process. Regulating economic operation and realizing government macro-control have important influence, and have been paid more and more attention by many countries. The global financial crisis that swept through in 2008 has led to continued economic weakness in Europe and the United States in recent years, and the market-oriented economic development model has been constantly questioned by people. And government public investment has gradually become an important measure to reverse this situation. How to "leverage" private investment and expand domestic demand by strengthening the construction of infrastructure such as railways, roads, electricity, etc. In order to cope with the severe economic crisis, it has become the focus of attention at present, and has gradually become an important part of the economic decision-making of various countries. At the same time, Whether the government public investment project which lacks the market competition mechanism can play its due effect or not involves the problem of government investment efficiency and is the focus of this paper. As Zhejiang Province is a large province with large domestic economic development and its private economy is developing rapidly, in recent years, Zhejiang Provincial Government has always attached importance to the use of the expansion effect of government public investment to promote economic growth. Therefore, this paper takes the empirical research of Zhejiang provincial government public investment as the main axis to analyze the efficiency of government public investment. The article is mainly divided into three parts: first, to define the important concepts in this paper. This paper expounds the connotation of the government public investment and the efficiency of the government public investment, defines the scope of the government public investment, enumerates the factors that affect the government public investment. By using the method of "Cobb-Douglas" production function, the paper makes an empirical analysis of the output efficiency, and draws the conclusion that the public investment of Zhejiang Provincial Government has a positive effect on economic growth, and uses the time series cointegration method to make an empirical analysis on the scale efficiency. It is concluded that the actual scale of public investment of Zhejiang provincial government is smaller than the optimal scale, and there is still great room for development, and the structural efficiency of public investment is studied by using the linear relationship between the proportion of investment in various industries and the growth rate of GDP. The conclusion that Zhejiang Province should increase the production and supply of electricity, gas and water, as well as government public investment in health, social security and social welfare, etc. Finally, Based on the theoretical and empirical analysis above, this paper finds out the problems existing in the public investment of Zhejiang provincial government and puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the public investment of Zhejiang provincial government.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F127;F832.48

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