我国地方政府融资平台问题研究
发布时间:2018-05-13 08:18
本文选题:地方政府 + 融资平台 ; 参考:《西南财经大学》2012年博士论文
【摘要】:地方政府融资平台从上个世纪80年代末就开始出现在神州大地上,不过真正引起国人高度关注还是在2008年末国家反经济周期的经济振兴计划出台之后。客观来说,地方政府融资平台在应对经济外生冲击力保国民经济平稳较快发展、加快投资建设步伐均衡基建成本成果的代际分布、助推城镇化建设优化投资环境增强发展后劲、保障和改善民生推进公共服务均等化、创新投融资体制加快地方经济建设发展等方面发挥了积极的作用。但是,国际金融危机后地方政府融资平台也暴露出今明两年偿债高峰兵临城下、偿债能力不强、公司治理规范化不够、中西部地区成为风险洼地等严峻问题,加之2008年起冰岛、迪拜、西班牙、意大利等亚欧国家一系列的主权债务危机连锁性爆发,引起了国家领导人对我国地方政府融资平台债务、国家经济安全的极大担忧。因此,研究地方政府融资平台问题对于国家经济安全、改革发展稳定的全局、“十二五”国民经济能否“稳中求进”、乃至中国能否抓住战略机遇期实现从“崛起”到“超越”的转变,都是意义重大、功在当下、利在未来、影响深远。 本文试图从地方政府融资平台的分类特征、历史演进、债务通道入手对地方政府融资平台基本面进行勾勒,然后运用宏观经济分析、微观财务异化行为等相关分析工具,从动力、动机、借口、机会、底气、途径六大方面对地方政府融资平台债务膨胀原因进行深入剖析。长期以来被西方主流理论批判的中国式经济管控,在国际金融危机中经受住考验,终于受到西方主流理论界和实务界的逐步认同和虚心借鉴。而地方政府融资平台问题就是一个典型的中国式问题,妥当的解决办法还是要靠中国式治理。因此,本文从政府的视角出发,贯彻多角度、多渠道、多方位的理念,多管齐下、多措并举探寻地方政府融资平台债务问题的解决之道;同时,考虑金融是现代经济的核心,银行业在我国金融体系又处于核心地位,而银行业平台贷款背后潜伏的金融风险状况同样深刻影响着国家经济安全,为此,本文还从银行业的视角出发,探讨平台贷款的风险管控之策。 本文的行文结构安排如下: 第一章,导论。在这个部分,本文对选题背景、研究意义、研究对象的界定、研究方法,以及行文结构和技术路线图进行总体的介绍。 第二章,地方政府融资平台概述。该章具体介绍地方政府融资平台的类型与特点、三大历史演进阶段、五大融资通道,为后面章节提供必要的背景交代。 第三章,地方政府融资平台的作用与问题。基于前述理论章节的叙述,本章对我国融资平台的积极作用和存在的问题进行细致的探讨,目的是找准融资平台问题所在,为后文探讨融资平台债台高筑的原因作铺垫。 第四章,地方政府融资平台债务膨胀的理论分析。在本章中,从动力、动机、借口、机会、底气、途径这六大要素作为切入点和突破口,深入挖掘平台债务膨胀的根源,梳理内在的机理,为后文平台债务治理和银行风险管控树立了靶子,力求做到对症下药、有的放矢。 第五章,政府部门与地方政府融资平台债务治理。本章立足政府部门的角度,从扭转政绩考核导向、推进财税体制改革、改进政府会计系统、扩容地方债券发行、加强平台规范管理等思路,摸索适合我国国情的以政府为主导的融资平台债务治理办法。 第六章,商业银行与地方政府融资平台风险管控。本章立足银行业的角度,对平台信贷资产的风险进行分析,从强化贷前审批、做实贷后管理、重启信贷资产证券化、延展平台贷款期限的思路探索银行业平台贷款的风险管控办法。 第七章,结论。本章作为全文的总结,在前述六章论述的基础上,归纳了全文研究的主要结论,明确了本文研究的主要创新点,展望了未来后续研究的方向。 本文的主要结论有如下几点: 1.平台债务疯狂膨胀是六大因素合力作用所导致。城市化提速是地方政府加快基础建设投资的外在动力;政绩考核的经济化是地方政府投融资冲动的内在动机;分税制下财权与事权不对称是地方政府举债建设投资的借口;松弛的财政货币政策是地方政府大举借债的绝好机会;财政联邦制下的预算软约束是地方政府大胆举债的底气;设立融资平台作为特殊目的载体,表外化或有化政府债务是地方政府规避现行法律障碍举债的有效途径。 2.此次平台债务问题,金融风险只是表象,财政风险才是实质。财力不足又追求经济政绩的地方政府,通过融资平台借入大量的中短期债务后,把相当部分投放到现金流回收周期较长或者不太理想的建设项目,结果债务和现金流的期限结构产生错配,债务到期缺乏足够的现金流偿还,进而引起银行业不良资产和坏账飙升的隐忧。 3.平台债务风险分布具有不均衡性、不对称性。平台债务风险在全国并不是均匀分布,而是在不同地区、不同的平台层级呈现出明显的差异。具体来说,从地区来看,风险集中主要集中在中西部地区的融资平台;从层级来看,风险集中在市县级融资平台,因此,平台债务风险的洼地就是这两个风险集中点的交汇之处——中西部地区市县级融资平台。这就更加精准定位了平台债务治理的目标,着眼点紧紧盯在中西部市县融资平台债务,施以“外科手术式管控”。 4.平台债务治理举措贯穿多角度、多主体、多维度的中国式管控理念。治理融资平台债务必须与时俱进、统筹兼顾、开拓创新,摈弃片面、孤立、静止的落后观念,既立足现在又放眼未来,既短期严防又长期谋划,既宏观着眼又微观着手,既扬汤止沸又釜底抽薪,做到远近结合、堵疏结合、发改结合,多管齐下、多措并举、多方联动,方能正本清源、标本兼治、长治久安。对于政府部门要有堵有疏,既要扭转政绩考核导向、改进政府会计系统,又要推进财税体制改革,扩容地方债券发行。对于融资平台,要做到改革与发展并举,要“边规范清理,边升级转型”,“在规范中谋转型,在转型中促规范”;对于银行业,既要“以时间换空间”,允许展期平台贷款,为后续风险管控腾出时间,又要“在风险管控促进结构调整,在稳重求进中消化信用风险”。 5.平台债务风险从短期来看形势严峻,但长期来看又总体可控。今明两年融资平台到期债务峰值兵临城下,融资平台现有的现金流难以抵御债务到期本息一波又一波的冲击,形势确实不容乐观,更不能掉以轻心。但是如果给予融资平台适当的展期延迟债务本金,那么风险又是总体可控,一方面,清理整顿后融资平台得到注资增信,资金实力得到增强,以及在到期债务的展期时间里,随着投资项目现金流逐渐走上正轨,融资平台对债务本息的偿付能力大大提高;另一方面,银行业调整业务结构寻找新的增长点,不断滚存增长的银行利润能够消化融资平台贷款转化的呆坏账。更让人宽心的是,政府手上还有有价值超百亿的国有股、自然资源等国有资产作为平台债务的靠山。因此,只要中国经济能够平稳增长,平台债务风险确实是可控的。
[Abstract]:The local government financing platform has played a positive role in the development of local government financing platform and national economic security .
This paper tries to analyze the causes of debt expansion of local government financing platform from the perspectives of motivation , motivation , excuse , opportunity , bottom gas and path .
At the same time , considering that finance is the core of modern economy , banking is at the core position in our country ' s financial system , and the underlying financial risk situation behind the banking platform loan is also deeply affecting the national economic security . Therefore , this article also discusses the policy of risk control of platform loan from the view of banking .
The structure of the text is as follows :
Chapter one , Introduction . In this part , this paper gives an overview of the background , significance of research , the definition of research object , the research methods , and the road map structure and technology road map .
The second chapter provides an overview of local government financing platform . This chapter introduces the types and characteristics of local government financing platform , three historical evolution stages and five major financing channels , and provides the necessary background for the following sections .
In chapter 3 , the role and problems of local government financing platform are discussed . Based on the description of the above - mentioned theoretical chapters , this chapter makes a detailed discussion on the active role and problems of financing platform in China . The purpose is to find out the problem of financing platform .
In chapter 4 , the theory of debt expansion of local government financing platform is analyzed . In this chapter , the six elements of motivation , motivation , excuse , opportunity , bottom gas and route are taken as the breakthrough point and the breakthrough point .
Chapter five , the government departments and the local government financing platform debt governance . This chapter is based on the government ' s angle , from the guidance of torsional performance appraisal , the promotion of the reform of the financial and taxation system , the improvement of the government accounting system , the expansion of the local bond issue , the strengthening of the platform regulation management and so on , and groped for the government - led financing platform debt governance approach which is suitable for our country ' s national conditions .
Chapter 6 , the risk control of commercial banks and local government financing platform . This chapter makes an analysis on the risks of the platform credit assets based on the angle of the banking industry .
Chapter 7 , conclusions are summarized in this chapter , based on the above - mentioned six chapters , the main conclusions of the full - text research are summarized , the main innovations in this paper are clarified , and the direction of future research is looked forward .
The main conclusions of this paper are as follows :
1 . The expansion of the platform debt is caused by the combining ability of six factors . The speed of urbanization is the impetus of the local government to accelerate the investment of infrastructure investment ;
The economic integration of performance appraisal is the internal motive of local government ' s investment and financing impulse .
The relaxed fiscal and monetary policy is a great opportunity for local governments to borrow money .
The budget soft constraint under the fiscal federalism is the foundation of the local government ' s audacity to raise the debt ;
The establishment of the financing platform as a special purpose carrier , the externalization of the table or the government debt is an effective way for local governments to avoid the existing legal obstacles .
2 . The debt problem of the platform , the financial risk is only the appearance , the financial risk is the essence . After borrowing large amount of medium - short - term debt through the financing platform , after borrowing large amount of medium - short - term debt through the financing platform , the maturity structure of the debt and cash flow is mismatched , and the maturity of the debt lacks enough cash flow reimbursement , thus causing the bank bad assets and the bad debts to soar .
3 . The distribution of the platform ' s debt risk is uneven and dissymmetry . The platform debt risk is not evenly distributed throughout the country , but in different regions , different platform levels show obvious differences . Specifically , from the region , the risk concentration is mainly concentrated in the financing platform in the Midwest .
From the level of view , the risk is concentrated in the city county - level finance platform , so the low - lying land of the platform debt risk is the intersection of the two risk concentration points .
4 . The debt governance of the platform runs through multi - angle , multi - subject and multi - dimension Chinese style control idea . The debt of governance financing platform must keep pace with the times , balance , innovate , abandon one - sided , isolated and static backward idea , not only the macro - vision and the long - term plan , but also promote the reform of the financial and taxation system and expand the local bond issue . For the financing platform , we should reform and develop the government accounting system .
For the banking industry , both " time - to - space " and " time - to - time space " are required to allow the loan of platform loans to be released for subsequent risk control , and " credit risk will be digested in a stable way " under risk control and structural adjustment .
5 . The debt risk of the platform is severe in the short term , but the long - term view is overall controllable . The current cash flow of the financing platform is hard to resist the impact of the debt maturity and the wave of the debt due to the impact of the current cash flow of the financing platform . However , if the appropriate extension period of the financing platform delays the debt principal , the risk is still overall controllable . On the one hand , the financing platform is strengthened and the cash flow of the investment project goes up gradually during the extension period of the maturing debt , and the solvency of the financing platform on the debt principal and interest is greatly improved ;
On the other hand , the banking adjustment business structure looks for new growth points , and the growing bank ' s profits can digest bad debts transformed by the financing platform loans . More reassuring is that the government also has billions of state - owned assets such as state - owned shares , natural resources and other state - owned assets as a platform debt . So long as China ' s economy is able to grow smoothly , the risk of the platform ' s debt is indeed controllable .
【学位授予单位】:西南财经大学
【学位级别】:博士
【学位授予年份】:2012
【分类号】:F832.5
【引证文献】
相关期刊论文 前3条
1 张伟;;我国地方政府投融资平台的财政风险预估及其防范措施[J];经济视角(上);2013年07期
2 梁肖羽;;地方政府融资平台风险问题研究综述[J];金融经济;2014年08期
3 芦亮;;新型城镇化背景下地方政府融资平台的债务风险问题研究[J];中央财经大学学报;2013年09期
相关硕士学位论文 前1条
1 梁肖羽;我国地方政府融资平台风险防范研究[D];西北大学;2014年
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