OFDI、IFDI对我国产业结构优化影响的实证分析

发布时间：2018-05-15 04:16

本文选题：OFDI + IFDI　；参考：《山东大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济全球化的深入发展,各国经济往来越来越密切。国际投资作为国际间产业转移的重要载体,不论是从东道国还是母国的角度去考虑,都会对一国的产业结构产生影响。近几十年来,我国对外直接投资和外商直接投资的发展非常迅速,而我国目前又处于经济转型的关键时期,产业结构急需优化。本文研究的目的是探索OFDI、IFDI对我国产业结构优化的影响机制及影响效果,并根据研究结果探求有利于我国产业结构优化的战略路径及政策建议。本文采用理论研究与实证研究相结合的研究方法。首先通过理论分析OFDI、 IFDI对产业结构变化的影响机制,之后对我国OFDI、IFDI、产业结构的现状进行研究分析,最后通过实证分析OFDI、IFDI对我国产业结构优化的影响。本文将产业结构分成产值结构和就业结构两方面进行研究。实证方法选择时间序列模型和行业面板模型,综合研究OFDI、IFDI对产业结构的影响,并得出相应的回归方程,根据回归结果提出我国引进外资和对外直接投资方面的政策建议。本文得出的结论是我国OFDI、IFDI对我国产业产值结构优化和就业结构优化都有促进作用,即有利于我国产业结构升级,但促进作用程度有所不同。产值结构方面,OFDI对我国第三产业的促进作用较大,有显著的正面影响,而对第二产业有负面影响；IFDI对第二、第三产业均有显著的正面影响。就业结构方面,OFDI、IFDI对第二、第三产业均有明显的促进作用。可见,OFDI与IFDI促进了我国产业结构优化升级。由发达国家的发展轨迹可知,一个国家越发达,第三产业在国民经济中占据的比重越大。由于目前我国第二产业比重仍然很大,我国应尽快发展第三产业,不断促进产业结构优化。通过本文的研究结论分析,建议我国要积极引导对外直接投资和外商直接投资,为其创造良好的软、硬环境,提高本国企业的自主创新能力和技术消化能力,充分发挥对外直接投资和外商直接投资对我国产业结构优化的传导与促进作用。本文从理论分析与实证分析两方面研究对外直接投资和外商直接投资与我国产业结构优化之间的关系具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。改革开放三十多年来,我国经济飞速发展,在取得巨大的经济效益的同时,更要注重经济结构的合理性,以获得国民经济的进一步可持续性发展。我国目前正处于经济转型的关键时期,研究对外直接投资与外商直接投资对我国产业结构的影响作用,对于有效利用外资及合理引导我国对外直接投资,使其更有利于推动我国产业结构优化,将发挥重要的作用。
[Abstract]:With the deepening development of economic globalization, economic exchanges between countries are getting closer and closer. As an important carrier of international industrial transfer, international investment, whether from the point of view of host country or home country, will have an impact on the industrial structure of a country. In recent decades, China's foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign direct investment (FDI) have developed very rapidly. However, China is now in the critical period of economic transformation, and the industrial structure is in urgent need of optimization. The purpose of this study is to explore the influence mechanism and effect of OFDI IFDI on China's industrial structure optimization, and to explore the strategic path and policy suggestions for the optimization of China's industrial structure according to the results of the research. This article uses the research method which the theory research and the empirical research unifies. Firstly, the influence mechanism of OFDI and IFDI on the change of industrial structure is analyzed theoretically, then the present situation of OFDI / IFDIand industrial structure in China is studied and analyzed. Finally, the influence of OFDI and IFDI on the optimization of industrial structure in China is analyzed empirically. This article divides the industrial structure into the output value structure and the employment structure two aspects carries on the research. The empirical method selects time series model and industry panel model to study comprehensively the influence of OFDI IFDI on industrial structure, and obtains the corresponding regression equation. Based on the regression results, the paper puts forward some policy recommendations on the introduction of foreign capital and foreign direct investment in China. The conclusion of this paper is that OFDI IFDI can promote the optimization of industrial output value structure and employment structure in China, that is to say, it is beneficial to the upgrading of industrial structure in China, but the degree of promotion is different. In terms of the structure of output value, OFDI has a significant positive effect on the tertiary industry, but a negative impact on the secondary industry. IFDI has a significant positive impact on the second industry and the tertiary industry on the other hand. In terms of employment structure, OFDI IFDI plays a significant role in promoting the second and third industries. It can be seen that OFDI and IFDI promote the optimization and upgrading of China's industrial structure. According to the development track of developed countries, the more developed a country, the bigger the proportion of tertiary industry in national economy. Because the proportion of the secondary industry is still very large, our country should develop the tertiary industry as soon as possible and promote the optimization of the industrial structure. Through the analysis of the conclusions of this paper, it is suggested that China should actively guide foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign direct investment (FDI), create a good soft and hard environment for them, and improve the independent innovation ability and technological digestibility of domestic enterprises. Give full play to the transmission and promotion of foreign direct investment and foreign direct investment to the optimization of China's industrial structure. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and industrial structure optimization in China from two aspects: theoretical analysis and empirical analysis. Since the reform and opening up for more than 30 years, the economy of our country has been developing at full speed. At the same time, we should pay more attention to the rationality of the economic structure in order to obtain the further sustainable development of the national economy. At present, our country is in the critical period of economic transformation. To study the influence of foreign direct investment and foreign direct investment on the industrial structure of our country, we can make effective use of foreign capital and guide our country's foreign direct investment reasonably. To make it more conducive to promoting China's industrial structure optimization, will play an important role.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F832.6;F121.3;F224

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