FDI对中国贸易收支影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-20 03:31

本文选题：外商在华直接投资 + 贸易顺差　；参考：《经济管理》2010年08期

【摘要】：改革开放以来,尤其是邓小平同志南巡讲话以来,外商在华直接投资迅猛发展。与此同时,中国对外贸易顺差也急剧增加。本文在具体分析FDI对东道国进出口影响的基础上,将FDI作为进出口的决定因素之一纳入到本文的实证模型中,通过对比FDI对进、出口的弹性探讨了FDI对中国贸易收支的影响。研究结论表明,外商在华直接投资促进了中国的出口,替代了中国的进口,从而导致了中国贸易顺差的快速增长,而且外商在华直接投资引致的贸易顺差具有持续性。如何统筹中国的对内对外经济关系,对于中国贯彻实施互利共赢的对外经济开放战略,实现对外贸易平衡,促进全球经济失衡调整,具有启示意义。
[Abstract]:Foreign direct investment in China has developed rapidly since reform and opening up, especially since Comrade Deng Xiaoping visited the South. At the same time, China's foreign trade surplus also increased sharply. Based on the analysis of the influence of FDI on the import and export of the host country, this paper takes FDI as one of the determinants of import and export into the empirical model of this paper. By comparing the elasticity of FDI to import and export, this paper discusses the impact of FDI on China's trade income and expenditure. The results show that FDI promotes China's exports and replaces China's imports, which leads to the rapid growth of China's trade surplus, and the persistence of the trade surplus caused by foreign direct investment in China. How to coordinate China's economic relations with domestic and foreign countries is instructive for China to carry out the win-win strategy of opening up its foreign economy, to realize the balance of foreign trade and to promote the adjustment of global economic imbalance.
【作者单位】：武汉大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“经济全球化背景下中国实施互利共赢对外经济开放战略研究”(07AJL016) 教育部人文社会科学重点研究基金重大项目“美国双赤字与世界经济失衡”(07JJD790140) 国家自然科学基金项目“知识溢出对中国外商直接投资地区非均衡增长的影响途径与数量测度”(70773082)
【分类号】：F832.6;F752.6

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