中美经济非对称共生条件下美元环流问题研究

发布时间：2018-06-16 10:19

本文选题：非对称共生 + 美元环流　；参考：《河北工业大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：本论文得到2011年国家社会科学基金项目(11BJL048)----“中美经济非对称共生条件下我国流动性重复逆转问题研究”的资助。中美作为世界上最大的发展中国家和发达国家已经具备了“共生经济”特征。两国经济结构存在明显的互补性，中国以制造业见长，美国则是全球金融资本最为强大的国家，双方互惠互利，在“共生经济”条件下，形成了中美两国间商品和资本的“双循环”体制。但是，中美两国间的“共生关系”是不对称的，美国掌握了两国“共生关系”的主导权，不论是实体经济领域，还是虚拟经济领域，我国都受到美国直接或间接的钳制。美国国内经济低迷将会引起我国出口产业受损，外汇储备增速降低，国内基础货币投放减少，流动性紧缺，美国经济高涨则会造成相反的影响。鉴于中美两国间特殊的经济关系，本文以美元环流路径为导向，首先扼要介绍了共生概念和流动性含义，，之后按照逻辑顺序先对美元环流的路径依赖条件——中美两国的共生合理性分别从中美两国贸易依存性和金融依存性角度进行了分析。其中文章选取了贸易结合度指数、比较优势指数以及贸易互补性指数对中美两国贸易依存性进行了量化分析，对中美两国金融依存性进行了定性分析，得出了中美两国依存共生的现实结论。其次，在共生基础上围绕中美两国经济非对称性分别从美元环流的路径、中美两国财富分配机制、财富错配根源等方面进行了定性分析。之后，中美两国经济的非对称性和现代国际货币体系的内在脆弱性导致了美元环流陷阱。针对这个问题，文章分别从贸易调节机制失灵、国际货币基准稳定性和经济周期传染性等方面对中美两国的经济脆弱性做出了研究分析。最后，本文通过两个博弈模型分别从贸易角度和金融角度对影响中美两国间非对称关系的因素进行了实证分析，给出了调整影响因素的政策建议，以期通过调整这些因素来改善中美两国的非对称性关系，从而促进中国经济的快速发展。
[Abstract]:This paper is supported by the 2011 National Social Science Foundation Project 11BJL048- "the study on the repeated liquidity reversal in China under the condition of asymmetric symbiosis between China and the United States". As the largest developing and developed country in the world, China and America already have the characteristic of symbiotic economy. The economic structure of the two countries is obviously complementary. China is strong in manufacturing, while the United States is the most powerful financial capital country in the world. Both sides are mutually beneficial. Under the condition of "symbiotic economy," The two-cycle system of goods and capital between China and the United States has been formed. However, the "symbiotic relationship" between China and the United States is asymmetrical. The United States holds the dominant power of the "symbiotic relationship" between the two countries. Whether in the field of real economy or in the field of virtual economy, China is directly or indirectly restrained by the United States. The economic downturn in the United States will damage China's export industry, reduce the growth rate of foreign exchange reserves, reduce domestic base money supply, and shortage of liquidity. The upsurge in the U.S. economy will have the opposite effect. In view of the special economic relationship between China and the United States, this paper first briefly introduces the concept of symbiosis and the meaning of liquidity, guided by the US dollar circulation path. Then, according to the logical order, the paper analyzes the path-dependent conditions of the dollar circulation, the symbiotic rationality of China and the United States, and the trade dependence and financial dependence of China and the United States, respectively. The article selects the index of trade combination, comparative advantage index and trade complementarity index to analyze the trade dependence of China and the United States quantitatively, and qualitatively analyzes the financial dependence of China and the United States. This paper draws a realistic conclusion that China and the United States are interdependent and symbiotic. Secondly, on the basis of symbiosis, qualitative analysis is made on the economic asymmetry of China and the United States from the following aspects: the path of the circulation of US dollars, the mechanism of wealth distribution between China and the United States, and the source of mismatch of wealth. After that, the asymmetry of Chinese and American economies and the inherent fragility of the modern international monetary system led to the dollar circulation trap. In order to solve this problem, this paper analyzes the economic vulnerability of China and the United States from the aspects of trade adjustment mechanism failure, international monetary benchmark stability and economic cycle contagion. Finally, through two game models, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the factors influencing the asymmetric relationship between China and the United States from the perspective of trade and finance, and gives some policy recommendations for adjusting the influencing factors. By adjusting these factors, we can improve the asymmetric relationship between China and the United States and promote the rapid development of China's economy.
【学位授予单位】：河北工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F124;F171.2;F837.12

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