东亚货币合作中人民币与日元的关系

发布时间：2018-06-18 08:40

本文选题：东亚货币合作 + 人民币与日元　；参考：《东北财经大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：1997年亚洲爆发了金融危机,暴露出东亚经济发展中的诸多问题,其中各国、各地区间缺乏金融协调与合作的问题尤为突出。东亚各国意识到钉住美元汇率存在的巨大风险,开启了东亚货币合作的新篇章。2007年美国爆发次贷危机并引发了全球金融动荡,再次使东亚国家意识到加强区域货币合作的紧迫性。经过十几年的努力,东亚货币合作取得了一系列成就,但由于缺乏轴心国和货币锚,区域货币合作步履维艰。中日两国是东亚地区的经济大国,也是拉动地区经济发展的双引擎。日本是区域内唯一的发达国家,金融体系相对完善。中国经济平稳而较快地增长,已经代替日本成为区域内第一大经济体。日元在直接挑战美元进行国际化的途中受到重创而不得不返回亚洲,却面临人民币的崛起。由于中日经济实力与经济周期、发展水平和利益动机的不同,两国间的货币竞争不可避免。但近年来日本经济一直处于低迷之中,首相更替频繁,社会问题突出。中国金融体系不健全,资本项目未实现自由化,利率和汇率也未市场化,人民币国际化刚刚起步。中日两国面对美元在东亚地区的强势地位,都无力单独领导东亚货币合作。未来中日两国之间的经济周期会进一步协同,经济联系日益紧密,两国间的沟通与协调能力不断增强。随着东亚货币合作的进一步加强,两国通过货币合作获得的收益也日益增多。本文从东亚货币合作的现状出发,描述了当前取得的成就和面临的困难,对东亚货币合作中的关键货币——人民币和日元展开分析,详细论述了两者竞争与合作的关系。在文章的结构安排方面,全文共分六章。第一章为绪论,主要阐述了研究东亚货币合作中人民币与日元关系的目的与意义,在对中外学者研究成果进行归纳与整理的基础上,确定了本文的研究结构与内容。第二章为东亚货币合作的发展现状,主要叙述了两次金融危机对东亚货币合作的影响、当前东亚货币合作的现状、东亚货币合作面临的主要困难及产生困难的根源。其中一个主要困难是缺乏轴心国和货币锚,这为后文研究东亚货币合作中人民币与日元的关系做好了铺垫。第三章研究东亚货币合作中人民币与日元的竞争关系,主要从两国经济实力、市场提供者地位、货币国际化进程、金融体系的完善程度以及汇率制度、币值信誉五个方面做了比较,分析各自的竞争优势与劣势。通过对两国货币竞争力的比较得出当前中日都无法单独领导东亚货币,这与第二章提及的东亚货币合作面临的主要困难——缺乏轴心国和核心货币遥相呼应。第四章为人民币与日元的合作,首先论述了近年来人民币与日元在结算交易、债券、货币互换、东亚外汇储备库、对话机制等方面的合作。接着分析了两国货币合作的必要性、可行性、以及面临的困难。最后依据合作现状与当前存在的困难提出了促进两国货币合作的若干建议。第五章为东亚货币合作中人民币与日元的关系展望。分析了当前金融动荡的形势下,中日选择竞争或合作的成本与收益,得出了两国合则双赢斗则两伤的结论。接着阐述了东亚货币合作是一个长期过程,提出了人民币与日元如何结合东亚货币合作的阶段性任务及时调整两者关系的建议。第六章为结论,作者通过对人民币与日元的实力比较,得出在当前美元仍为东亚主导货币的形势下,两国都无力单独领导东亚货币合作。两国应该审时度势并考虑到东亚货币合作的整体利益,分阶段、分目标的采取措施推动中日间的货币合作,进而将东亚货币推向更深层次的合作。
[Abstract]:The Asian financial crisis broke out in 1997 , exposing many problems in East Asia ' s economic development . Countries and regions lack financial coordination and cooperation . The East Asian countries are aware of the huge risks of pegged exchange rates and opened up a new chapter in East Asian monetary cooperation . After more than a decade of efforts , East Asian countries are aware of the urgency of strengthening regional monetary cooperation . After more than a decade of efforts , East Asian currency cooperation has achieved a series of achievements , but because of the lack of axial and monetary anchors , regional monetary cooperation is difficult .

Japan is the only developed country in the region , the financial system is relatively perfect . Japan is the only developed country in the region , the financial system is relatively perfect . In recent years , China ' s economy has grown rapidly and has to return to Asia , but it faces the rise of RMB .

Starting from the current situation of East Asian monetary cooperation , this paper describes the achievements and difficulties currently being achieved , analyzes the key currencies in monetary cooperation in East Asia and the Japanese yen , and discusses the relationship between the competition and cooperation of the two . In the structure arrangement of the article , the whole text is divided into six chapters .

The first chapter introduces the purpose and significance of studying the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian monetary cooperation , and determines the research structure and content of this paper on the basis of summarizing and arranging the research results of Chinese and foreign scholars .

The second chapter is the current situation of East Asian monetary cooperation , mainly describes the influence of the two financial crises on East Asian monetary cooperation , the current situation of East Asian currency cooperation , the main difficulties in East Asian currency cooperation and the root causes of difficulties . One of the main difficulties is the lack of axial and monetary anchors , which is the foundation for the study of the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian currency cooperation .

The third chapter studies the competitive relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in East Asian monetary cooperation , compares the two countries ' economic strength , market provider status , monetary internationalization process , the perfection degree of the financial system , the exchange rate system and the currency value reputation , and analyzes their competitive advantages and disadvantages .

The fourth chapter discusses the cooperation between RMB and Japanese yen in settlement transactions , bonds , currency exchange , East Asian foreign exchange reserve and dialogue mechanism in recent years , and then analyzes the necessity , feasibility and difficulties of monetary cooperation between the two countries . Finally , some suggestions are put forward to promote the monetary cooperation between the two countries according to the current situation of cooperation and the present difficulties .

The fifth chapter prospects the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in monetary cooperation in East Asia , analyzes the cost and benefits of competition or cooperation between China and Japan under the current financial turmoil , and draws the conclusion that the two - state cooperation is a long - term process , and puts forward suggestions on how to adjust the relationship between RMB and Japanese yen in combination with the stage task of East Asian currency cooperation .

In the sixth chapter , the author compares the strength between RMB and Japanese yen , and concludes that in the current dollar still the dominant currency of East Asia , the two countries cannot independently lead the East Asian monetary cooperation . The two countries should review the current situation and take into account the overall interests , stages and objectives of the East Asian monetary cooperation to promote the monetary cooperation between China and Japan , and then push the East Asian currency to a deeper level of cooperation .
【学位授予单位】：东北财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F823.1;F832.6

【参考文献】