我国当前通货膨胀特点及因应对策

发布时间：2018-06-18 11:42

本文选题：通货膨胀 + 需求拉动　；参考：《河北大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：通货膨胀是一个很重要的经济因素，一直影响着世界各国经济的健康平稳发展。因此，通货膨胀的治理一直是世界各国经济学家研究的重要课题。我国从改革开放以来，伴随着经济的快速增长，在社会经济领域发生了多次通货膨胀，而每一次通货膨胀的发生都对国民经济的各个层面造成了不同程度的影响。为应对2008年以来的国际金融危机，各国都采取了一系列宽松的宏观经济政策，释放了大量流动性，这为我国及其他新兴经济体国家的通货膨胀打下了“基础”。在度过危机的最艰难时期后，2009年底居民消费价格指数CPI由负转正，2010年初通货膨胀迹象开始显现，拉开了我国当前通货膨胀的序幕。我国当前通货膨胀所面临的国内外宏观经济环境与以往相比发生了较大的变化。经济的长期高速增长，，对外开放广度和深度不断加强，经济转型关键时期的到来，以及金融危机后世界经济的缓慢复苏都深刻影响着我国当前的通货膨胀。因此，当前的通货膨胀表现出了货币供应量大、成本推动性和外部输入性明显的特征。在对大量的文献资料进行总结整理，且对大量的数据进行比较分析后，找出了引发我国当前通货膨胀的三大主要原因：宽松的宏观经济政策下的需求拉动、要素市场的变化引发的成本推动及外部输入。并且通过对我国当前通货膨胀成因的研究得到了，危机过后政府在使用宏观经济政策时需谨慎，应具有长远性和前瞻性的启示。综上提出了治理我国当前通货膨胀的对策，主要有合理调整过剩的流动性，合理有效的推动要素市场化改革，并通过合理调整人民币汇率、建立能源农产品等的中长期发展战略来缓解外部冲击以及合理的运用宏观经济政策等。
[Abstract]:Inflation is a very important economic factor, has been affecting the healthy and stable development of the world economy. Therefore, the control of inflation has been an important topic for economists all over the world. Since the reform and opening up, along with the rapid economic growth, there have been many times of inflation in the social and economic field, and each time the occurrence of inflation has caused varying degrees of impact on the various levels of the national economy. In response to the international financial crisis since 2008, countries have adopted a series of loose macroeconomic policies and released a lot of liquidity, which has laid a "foundation" for inflation in China and other emerging economies. After the most difficult period of the crisis, the consumer price index (CPI) began to show signs of inflation at the beginning of 2010 from negative to positive at the end of 2009, which opened the prelude of China's current inflation. The domestic and foreign macro-economic environment of China's current inflation has changed greatly compared with the past. The long-term rapid growth of the economy, the continuous strengthening of the breadth and depth of opening up, the arrival of the critical period of economic transformation, and the slow recovery of the world economy after the financial crisis have deeply affected the current inflation in China. Therefore, the current inflation shows the characteristics of large money supply, cost promotion and external input. After summing up and sorting out a great deal of literature, and comparing and analyzing a large number of data, we find out the three main causes of inflation in our country: the demand pull under the loose macroeconomic policy. Factor market changes lead to cost-driven and external input. Through the study of the causes of inflation in China, the government should be careful in using macroeconomic policies after the crisis, and should have a long-term and forward-looking enlightenment. In summary, we put forward some countermeasures to control the current inflation in our country, mainly by reasonably adjusting excess liquidity, reasonably and effectively promoting the market-oriented reform of the elements, and by rationally adjusting the RMB exchange rate. Establish medium-and-long-term development strategies for energy and agricultural products to mitigate external shocks and make rational use of macroeconomic policies.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F822.5

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