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从美元指数变动反思中国应对金融危机的策略

发布时间:2018-06-27 03:59

  本文选题:金融危机 + 美元指数变动 ; 参考:《国际金融研究》2010年03期


【摘要】:美元指数在金融危机前后出现了耐人寻味的变化:危机初期大幅下跌,危机严重时期却逆市迅速上升,一有复苏迹象就开始进入跌势。显然与危机之前所奉行的弱势美元政策不一致。美国借助美元的特殊地位将之作为应对金融危机的一个全球性战略武器,巧妙地将自己这个危机源头的损失降至最小程度并在国际上实行霸权主义控制,且正在布局再度获取世界经济政治的新主导权。为增强经济理性发展的能力,中国在应对外部冲击时一定要有前瞻性和预见性;趁美元还未大幅贬值之机减持至少不再增持美国国债并用活话语权;通过创建"中国美元"市场来解决外汇储备问题;建立和拓展石油、铁矿石等大宗原料国际期货市场;同时降低对发达国家的过度依赖;并急需将居者有其屋作为基本国策;此外,发展新能源产业切不可盲目跟风。
[Abstract]:The dollar index changed thought-provoking before and after the financial crisis: it fell sharply in the early stages of the crisis, but rose sharply during the worst of the crisis and began to fall as soon as there were signs of recovery. Clearly inconsistent with the weak dollar policy pursued before the crisis. With the special status of the dollar, the United States has used it as a global strategic weapon to deal with the financial crisis, ingeniously minimizing its losses at the source of the crisis and exercising hegemonic control internationally. And is again in the layout of the world economy and politics of the new dominant power. In order to enhance the ability of rational economic development, China must be forward-looking and predictable in dealing with external shocks; To solve the foreign exchange reserve problem by creating "Chinese dollar" market; to establish and expand the international futures market of oil, iron ore and other bulk raw materials; at the same time, to reduce the excessive dependence on developed countries, and to urgently take home ownership as the basic state policy; In addition, the development of new energy industry must not blindly follow the trend.
【作者单位】: 复旦大学经济学院;上海社科院部门经济研究所;
【基金】:教育部“国际金融危机应对研究”应急课题(2009JYJR044)资助
【分类号】:F831.59

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