城市旅游关键要素供给与游客需求相关性及产能利用率——2005—2014年河南省18个地市的统计分析

发布时间：2018-02-06 04:06

本文关键词： 资源丰度客流量星级宾馆旅游收入相关性产能利用率　出处：《地理与地理信息科学》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：供给与需求平衡分析是研究产能利用率的基础。景区、宾馆供给与游客需求的相关性体现城市旅游发展过程中关键要素供需的长期均衡,产能利用率反映在一定旅游需求下关键供给要素在不同地市、不同时段的具体情况。该文依据2005-2014年河南18个地市的统计数据,分析了客流量与资源丰度、星级宾馆以及旅游收入的相关性,并根据单位景区、宾馆接待客流量理论值,测算了各地市A级景区和星级宾馆的产能利用率。结果发现:1)资源丰度与客流量呈正相关,但在国内旅游上存在一定的空间错位;2)星级宾馆与客流量呈正相关,在入境旅游上有显著的正偏差;3)客流量与旅游收入呈正相关,国内旅游比入境旅游产业结构更高级;4)10年来河南省A级景区和星级宾馆产能利用率总体不断提升,但个别年份、部分地市存在产能过剩情况。据此提出相关政策建议,以期促进河南城市旅游供需平衡及协调发展。
[Abstract]:Supply and demand balance analysis is the basis of capacity utilization. The correlation between hotel supply and tourist demand reflects the long-term balance of supply and demand of key elements in the process of urban tourism development. The utilization rate of production capacity is reflected in the specific situation of key supply factors in different cities and different periods of time under a certain tourism demand. This paper bases on the statistical data of 18 cities in Henan Province from 2005 to 2014. This paper analyzes the correlation between passenger flow and resource abundance, star hotel and tourism income, and according to the theoretical value of unit scenic spot and hotel reception passenger flow. The productivity utilization ratio of A-grade scenic spots and star-rated hotels in various cities and cities is calculated. The results show that the abundance of resources is positively correlated with the passenger flow, but there is a certain spatial dislocation in domestic tourism. 2) the star-rated hotels have positive correlation with the passenger flow, and there are significant positive deviations in the inbound tourism; 3) there is a positive correlation between passenger flow and tourism income, and domestic tourism is more advanced than inbound tourism industry structure; 4) during the past 10 years, the utilization rate of production capacity of A grade scenic spots and star hotels in Henan Province has been increasing, but in some cities there is overcapacity in some cities in some years. Based on this, the relevant policy suggestions are put forward. In order to promote Henan urban tourism supply and demand balance and coordinated development.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“新时期国内旅游的抗周期性及经济效应研究”(12BJY131) 中央高校基本科研业务专项资金项目(GK201603077、2016CSZ016)
【分类号】：F592.7

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