中国省域旅游经济增长空间计量研究

发布时间：2018-04-21 17:51

本文选题：旅游经济增长 + 空间计量模型　；参考：《发展研究》2016年01期

【摘要】：本文以柯布-道格拉斯生产函数模型为理论基础,从省域层面构建了旅游经济增长模型。并运用空间杜宾模型实证考察了资本和劳动力对省域旅游经济增长的影响,实证结果显示:资本和劳动力投入对旅游经济增长的估计系数均显著为正,但资本对旅游经济增长的贡献大于劳动力,表明我国省域旅游经济增长依然依靠投资驱动;邻近省份旅游固定资产投资对旅游经济增长空间溢出效应为正,但不显著,省域间旅游投资亟需避免同质化竞争;邻近省份旅游劳动力投入对旅游经济增长空间溢出效应为负,虽然不显著,但需谨防旅游劳动力区域间流动速度过快。促进旅游经济健康可持续发展,须从加强区域旅游协同发展、积极扩大旅游投资、加强旅游人才队伍建设三方面着力。
[Abstract]:Based on the Cobb-Douglas production function model, this paper constructs the tourism economic growth model from the provincial level. The effect of capital and labor force on tourism economic growth is investigated by using spatial Doberbin model. The empirical results show that the estimated coefficients of capital and labor input to tourism economic growth are significantly positive. However, the contribution of capital to the growth of tourism economy is greater than that of labor force, which indicates that the growth of tourism economy in our province is still driven by investment, and the spatial spillover effect of tourism fixed assets investment on tourism economic growth in neighboring provinces is positive, but not significant. Tourism investment among provinces needs to avoid homogenous competition. The spatial spillover effect of tourism labor investment on tourism economic growth in neighboring provinces is negative, although it is not significant, it is necessary to guard against the excessive speed of regional migration of tourism labor. To promote the healthy and sustainable development of tourism economy, it is necessary to strengthen the coordinated development of regional tourism, actively expand tourism investment and strengthen the construction of tourism talents.
【作者单位】：国家信息中心;
【基金】：国家旅游局规划项目《新常态下我国旅游经济增长潜力与动力研究》(15TACG025)项目成果
【分类号】：F592.7;F224

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