基于TOPSIS的大理州旅游经济系统脆弱性评价研究

发布时间：2018-05-16 13:04

本文选题：旅游经济系统 + 脆弱性评价　；参考：《资源开发与市场》2017年12期

【摘要】：基于旅游经济系统脆弱性的内涵,从敏感性、应对能力两个方面构建旅游经济系统脆弱性评价体系。以云南大理州为例,选取熵值法、TOPSIS模型、障碍度评估模型,分析2007—2016年大理州旅游经济系统脆弱性变化情况及影响因素。结果表明:(1)10年来,大理州旅游经济系统敏感性和应对能力均呈波动上升趋势,脆弱性波动上升但相对平缓;(2)大理州旅游经济系统脆弱性波动相对平缓,但一直处于较高水平;(3)通过障碍因素分析得出,入境旅游人次占总人次的比重、旅游外汇收入占总收入的比重和国民经济增长率三项指标是阻碍大理州旅游经济脆弱性降低的最大因素。最后提出降低大理州旅游经济系统脆弱性的建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the connotation of the vulnerability of tourism economic system, this paper constructs a vulnerability evaluation system of tourism economic system from two aspects: sensitivity and coping ability. Taking Dali Prefecture of Yunnan Province as an example, the TOPSIS model and the obstacle degree evaluation model are selected to analyze the vulnerability of tourism economic system in Dali prefecture from 2007 to 2016 and its influencing factors. The results show that in the past 10 years, the sensitivity and coping ability of tourism economic system in Dali Prefecture have fluctuated upward, and the vulnerability fluctuation has increased but relatively gently. 2) the vulnerability fluctuation of tourism economic system in Dali Prefecture has been relatively gentle. However, it has been at a relatively high level. (3) through the analysis of obstacles, it is concluded that the proportion of inbound tourist trips to the total number of people is The proportion of tourism foreign exchange income to total income and the growth rate of national economy are the biggest factors hindering the decrease of tourism economic vulnerability in Dali prefecture. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions to reduce the vulnerability of tourism economic system in Dali Prefecture.
【作者单位】：云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“旅游孤岛效应测度与调控机制研究”(编号:16BGL121) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目“旅游地‘荷兰病’效应的路径依赖与逆变机理研究”(编号:2016T90875) 国家民委科研基金项目“旅游经济依赖背景下民族地区经济脆弱性调控对策研究”(编号:2016-GMC-014) 云南大学笸川优秀青年教育基金资助项目“沪昆高铁对云南省旅游流空间格局影响研究”(编号:16KT207)
【分类号】：F592.7

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