FDI与入境商务旅游的关系研究——以北京、上海、广州为例

发布时间：2018-05-20 10:27

本文选题：FDI + IBT　；参考：《统计与信息论坛》2016年04期

【摘要】：选择1995—2013年北京、上海和广州FDI和入境商务旅游(IBT)的时间序列数据,运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和弹性系数分析法分析二者的关系。研究发现:二者存在长期稳定的协整关系;IBT是FDI的格兰杰原因,但FDI是IBT的格兰杰原因在三地呈现出一定的差异性:北京的外企数量和外企投资均不是IBT的格兰杰原因;上海的外企投资是IBT的格兰杰原因而外企数量不是;广州的外企数量是IBT的格兰杰原因而外企投资不是。弹性系数分析表明,IBT对外企投资的弹性系数均高于IBT对外企数量的弹性系数,说明IBT对外企投资的带动作用高于对外企数量的带动。北、上、广三地的对比分析表明,二者的互动关系在上海和广州显著,在北京不显著,但北京的IBT对FDI的带动作用最大,这与三地吸引FDI的城市定位以及IBT的发达程度均有关。
[Abstract]:This paper selects the time series data of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou from 1995 to 2013, and analyzes the relationship between them by using cointegration test, Granger causality test and elasticity coefficient analysis. It is found that the long-term stable cointegration relationship between them is the Granger cause of FDI, but FDI is the Granger cause of IBT in the three places: the number of foreign enterprises and the investment of foreign enterprises in Beijing are not the Granger reasons of IBT; Shanghai's foreign investment is the Granger reason for IBT and the number of foreign companies is not; the number of foreign companies in Guangzhou is the Granger cause of IBT and foreign investment is not. The analysis of elasticity coefficient shows that the elasticity coefficient of IBT to foreign investment is higher than that of IBT to the quantity of foreign enterprise, which indicates that IBT has more driving effect on foreign investment than on the quantity of foreign enterprise. The comparative analysis of the three regions shows that the interaction between them is significant in Shanghai and Guangzhou, but not in Beijing, but the IBT in Beijing has the greatest driving effect on FDI, which is related to the city orientation of attracting FDI and the developed degree of IBT in the three places.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;咸阳师范学院经济与管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学基金项目《基于城市层面的中国对美国投资的空间格局和区位选择研究》(11XJAZH001) 2015年国家旅游局“万名旅游英才”研究型英才培养项目《FDI与我国入境商务旅游的空间关系研究》(WMYC20151058)
【分类号】：F832.6;F592

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