广东省城市旅游效率的时空特征及其增长机制

发布时间：2018-08-27 07:33

【摘要】：随着城市旅游业在优化就业结构、改善基础设施建设、拓宽就业渠道等方面发挥出重要的作用,政府开始高度重视旅游效率的提高。本文基于Bootstrap-DEA纠偏模型,对2001-2014年广东省21个地级市的城市旅游效率进行测算,采用Moran's I系数和Geary'C比率进行空间自相关检验,并利用考虑空间异质性的地理加权回归(GWR)模型,对广东的城市旅游效率进行实证研究。研究结果表明:(1)从纠偏效率的数值特征看,广东省各个城市间旅游效率水平差异明显,大多城市总技术效率较高,但为DEA无效的城市数量在增多;(2)从空间全局视角看,广东省城市旅游效率的空间自相关检验出现由负效应转变为显著的正效应的趋势,在局部视角下具有明显的局域集群趋势;(3)相比全局线性回归(OLS)模型,bi-square权函数下的局部空间回归(GWR)模型拟合优度最高,解释能力和精度也更强;(4)GWR模型能有效识别城市旅游效率增长机制的空间非平稳性,本文基于不同区域驱动因素作用的异质性,提出"广东五大旅游板块"空间格局的差异化发展策略来探讨城市旅游效率的驱动因素和作用机理。
[Abstract]:As urban tourism plays an important role in optimizing employment structure, improving infrastructure construction and widening employment channels, the government has begun to attach great importance to the improvement of tourism efficiency. Based on the Bootstrap-DEA correction model, this paper measures the urban tourism efficiency of 21 prefectural cities in Guangdong Province from 2001 to 2014, uses Moran's I coefficient and Geary'C ratio to carry out spatial autocorrelation test, and uses the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model considering spatial heterogeneity. An empirical study on the urban tourism efficiency in Guangdong is carried out. The results show that: (1) from the numerical characteristics of correction efficiency, there are obvious differences in tourism efficiency among cities in Guangdong Province, and the total technical efficiency of most cities is higher, but the number of cities with ineffective DEA is increasing; (2) from the perspective of the overall spatial perspective, The spatial autocorrelation test of urban tourism efficiency in Guangdong Province shows a trend from negative effect to significant positive effect. (3) compared with the global linear regression (OLS) model, the local spatial regression (GWR) model has the highest goodness of fit compared with the global linear regression (OLS) model. (4) GWR model can effectively identify the spatial nonstationarity of urban tourism efficiency growth mechanism. In order to explore the driving factors and mechanism of urban tourism efficiency, the differential development strategy of the spatial pattern of "five major tourist plates" in Guangdong is put forward.
【作者单位】：暨南大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(15ATJ001) 广东省旅游局科研合作项目(GZSW16120FG3173) 中国劳动保障科学研究院科研合作项目(LKY-2016jx-14)
【分类号】：F592.7

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