目的地旅游安全度的时空分异研究——以全国31个重点旅游城市为例

发布时间：2018-09-05 13:30

【摘要】：本文基于生态系统健康理论,研究抽象出决定目的地旅游安全度的两个重要因素:旅游安全抵抗力和旅游风险入侵度,并据此构建目的地旅游安全度的评价指标体系。搜集2003—2013年全国31个城市目的地旅游安全度测评的指标数据,经过数据分析,验证和修正了目的地旅游安全度评价模型。最后,测算了2003—2013年全国31个城市目的地旅游安全度指数。主要结论:(1)2003—2013年全国31个城市目的地旅游安全活力、结构和恢复力呈现增长态势,旅游安全抵抗力逐步增强。东部地区旅游安全抵抗力较突出;中部地区稳步增强,具有增长空间;西部地区也在提升。(2)2003—2013年全国31个城市目的地旅游自然环境与社会环境风险入侵呈现逐渐减少态势,且旅游风险入侵度态势差异显著。时间上,大部分城市旅游安全风险入侵度波动明显,尚未表现出一致的增加或减少态势;空间上,城市的经济发展与旅游安全风险并存。(3)整体上看,2003—2013年全国31个城市目的地旅游安全度差异显著,但时间上,大部分城市旅游安全度表现出增强态势;空间上,东部地区、中部地区和西部地区尚未表现出明显的规律性。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of ecosystem health, this paper abstracts two important factors that determine the tourism safety degree of destination: tourism safety resistance and tourism risk invasion degree, and then constructs the evaluation index system of destination tourism safety degree. This paper collects the index data of tourism safety degree evaluation of 31 cities in China from 2003 to 2013, and verifies and modifies the evaluation model of destination tourism security degree through data analysis. Finally, the paper calculates the tourism safety index of 31 cities in China from 2003 to 2013. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) from 2003 to 2013, the tourism safety vitality, structure and resilience of 31 cities in China showed an increasing trend, and the tourism safety resistance was gradually strengthened. The tourism safety resistance in the eastern region is relatively prominent; the central region is steadily strengthening and has room for growth; and the western region is also improving. (2) the natural environment and social environment risk invasion of 31 cities in China gradually decreased from 2003 to 2013. There are significant differences in the degree of tourism risk invasion. In terms of time, the intrusion degree of most urban tourism security risks fluctuates obviously and has not yet shown a consistent increase or decrease situation. Urban economic development and tourism security risk coexist. (3) from 2003 to 2013, there are significant differences in tourism security degree of 31 cities in China, but in time, the tourism security degree of most cities shows an increasing trend; spatial, eastern region, The central region and the western region have not shown obvious regularity.
【作者单位】：华侨大学旅游学院;中国旅游研究院旅游安全研究基地;
【基金】：华侨大学高层次人才科研启动项目“目的地旅游安全评价研究:基于双重视角的审视”(15SKBS304)
【分类号】：F592

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