信息化与工业化融合的影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-04-23 22:12

本文选题：信息化 + 工业化　；参考：《南京大学》2013年博士论文

【摘要】：信息革命重塑世界,带给全球经济繁荣,尤其是成为西方发达国家发展的重要手段。利用信息技术推动经济和社会的全面发展成为信息社会研究的重要领域。中国处于工业化后期,信息化和工业化的融合发展具有重要的战略意义。现有的两化融合研究较多地集中在后发优势理论、比较优势理论、新型工业化和信息化领域等方面,没有系统的将两者结合起来。本文将系统构建全新的理论框架作为切入点,并在此基础上对影响因素展开实证研究。本文以信息技术范式、ICT4D、技术经济范式、产业融合理论作为研究的理论基础。信息技术革命对经济社会所产生的区域时间的影响差异来源于信息技术范式发展过程中所经历的不同阶段。信息化融合发展是信息技术范式发展的新阶段,在这个阶段中信息社会构建进入ICT4D2.0阶段,这需要新的技术方法和知识的整合,ICT4D2.0提供了一个以需求驱动为特征的经济社会全面发展的手段。技术经济范式理论表明经济的发展是内在的技术革命以及技术经济范式在发挥作用,每一次技术的创新性破坏产生了新的产品产业和基础设施以及新的组织原则。信息社会的发展遵循技术经济范式的发展阶段性和周期性,并遵循固定的准则。技术经济范式所具有周期性表明信息化与工业化融合具有阶段性的特征。产业融合理论认为融合依次会经历技术融合、市场融合等阶段,技术融合导致产品-市场的组合并最终会导向产业融合和经济融合,信息化与工业化的融合可以用三维的模型表示,在信息化维、工业化维和融合维的作用下共同发展,提炼出信息化与工业化融合模型。本文分析了国内外两化融合的推进机制和发展经验,并在江苏省两化融合调研的基础上得出两化融合的发展经验。在对两化融合支撑环境的分析中,着重分析了信息产业、创新保障以及信息资源开发战略对两化融合的支撑作用。在前面理论分析的基础上,从信息化与工业化融合内涵的角度出发,提炼出两化融合的影响因素模型。采用Logistic模型、虚拟虚拟变量模型和脉冲响应分析对我国的信息技术范式的阶段性进行实证研究,Logistic分析表明我国处于信息技术范式的转折点,信息化的手段发生了改变,信息技术的扩散效应减弱,必须同工业需求相结合共同发展。通过信息化投入和信息化需求共同作用的向量自回归模型可以分析看出,需求拉动作用成为经济发展的主要力量,这也为两化融合提供了理论依据。宏观区域层面的影响因分析,运用结构方程组和向量自回归分析了影响因素之间的静态和动态的影响关系,分析表明传统的发展方式难以支撑经济的发展,必须通过推动数字经济进程尤其通过信息技术提升产品和装备的技术含量才是最为有效的手段。微观层面的分析在借鉴Sambamurthy和Zmud模型基础上结合Barua模型,构建企业两化融合的关键要素模型以及评价指标。运用定量分析的方法,在对评价指标进行主成分分析基础上,得出两化融合的重点影响因素：利用社会网络分析方法,分析影响因素之间的关系。本文最后对研究结果进行了总结,两化融合的阶段性分析表明,两化融合遵循信息技术范式的发展阶段性。我国的两化融合处于信息技术范式的协调期,信息化发展策略进入以需求和应用拉动为特征的ICT4D2.0阶段,尤其是加大企业智能化设备改造和智能装备产品的研发。加大政策引导,鼓励创新,推动信息技术同实体经济的结合,并关注信息化过程中可能引发的数字鸿沟问题。宏观区域两化融合影响因素分析表明,数字经济进程和信息化支撑环境建设对两化融合产生较大影响,如城市化率与信息技能之间、外贸依存度与信息服务和装备智能化程度存在互相影响关系,发展云计算、物联网等高端信息技术是两化深度融合的重大机遇。微观企业两化融合影响因素分析表明,企业研发信息化、智能化生产装备和供应链协同对两化融合的影响较大,而这离不开规范的信息化应用制度以及大量信息化的资金投入,尤其表现为智能化生产设备和数字化装备领域应用需要大量的资金和复合型人才。通过典型应用企业信息化成功经验和行业知识在企业间的推广,可以很好地带动全行业企业的两化融合工作。最后本文根据前面影响因素分析的结果,提出政策建议,阐明本研究的创新点、研究局限和未来研究方向。
[Abstract]:The information revolution reinventing the world and bringing the global economy to prosperity, especially the important means for the development of western developed countries. The use of information technology to promote the overall development of economy and society has become an important field in the research of the information society. In the late industrialization of China, the integration of information and industrialization has important strategic significance. The research of the two fusion is focused on the theory of the back advantage, the theory of comparative advantage, the new industrialization and the field of informatization, and there is no systematic combination of the two. This paper constructs a new theoretical framework of the system as a breakthrough point, and on this basis, an empirical study on the influence of the factors is carried out.
This paper is based on the information technology paradigm, ICT4D, the technical and economic paradigm and the theory of industrial integration. The difference of the influence of the information technology revolution on the regional time produced by the economic society comes from the different stages of the development of the information technology paradigm. At this stage, the construction of the information society is in the ICT4D2.0 stage, which requires the integration of new technical methods and knowledge. ICT4D2.0 provides a means of comprehensive economic and social development characterized by demand driven. The theory of technical and economic paradigm shows that economic development is the internal technological revolution and the technical and economic paradigm is playing a role. The innovative destruction of a technology produces new product industries and infrastructure and new organizational principles. The development of the information society follows the stages and periodicity of the development of the technical and economic paradigm, and follows the fixed principles. The periodicity of the technical and economic paradigm shows that the integration of information and industrialization is characterized by stages. Fusion theory holds that fusion will undergo the stages of technical integration and market fusion in turn. Technology convergence leads to product market combination and eventually leads to industrial integration and economic integration. The integration of information and industrialization can be expressed in three dimensional model, and it develops together under the role of information dimension, industrial peacekeeping and integration dimension. A model of integration of interest and industrialization.
This paper analyzes the promotion mechanism and development experience of the two integration at home and abroad, and draws the development experience of the two integration on the basis of the two integration investigation in Jiangsu province. In the analysis of the two fusion support environment, the paper emphatically analyzes the supporting role of the information industry, the Innovation Guarantee and the information resource development strategy on the two integration. On the basis of theoretical analysis, from the angle of the connotation of information and industrialization, the influence factor model of the two fusion is extracted. The Logistic model, virtual virtual variable model and impulse response analysis are used to make an empirical study on the phase of the information technology paradigm in China. Logistic analysis shows that China is in the information technology paradigm. At the turning point, the means of information technology has changed, the diffusion effect of information technology is weakened, and it must be combined with the industrial demand. The vector autoregression model, through the joint action of information input and information demand, can be found that demand pull is the main force of economic development, which also provides the two integration. The influence of the macro regional level is analyzed, the structure equation group and the vector autoregression are used to analyze the static and dynamic relationship between the influencing factors. The analysis shows that the traditional way of development is difficult to support the economic development. It is necessary to promote the product and equipment through the information technology by promoting the digital economy in Cheng Youqi. The technical content is the most effective means. On the basis of Sambamurthy and Zmud model, the key elements model and evaluation index of enterprise two integration are constructed on the basis of using the model of Barua and Zmud model. Su: using social network analysis method to analyze the relationship between influencing factors.
At the end of this paper, the research results are summarized. The phase analysis of the two integration shows that the two integration follows the development stage of the information technology paradigm. The two integration of our country is in the coordination period of the information technology paradigm, and the information development strategy enters the ICT4D2.0 stage characterized by demand and application, especially the increase of enterprise intelligence. Transformation of equipment and research and development of intelligent equipment products. Increase policy guidance, encourage innovation, promote the combination of information technology with the real economy, and pay attention to the problem of digital divide which may arise in the process of information. The analysis of the influencing factors of the two integration of macro regions shows that the digital economic progress and the construction of information support environment are the two integration production. The relationship between the degree of interdependence of foreign trade and the degree of information service and equipment intellectualization, such as the rate of urbanization and information skills, and the development of the advanced information technology such as cloud computing and the Internet of things are the major opportunities for the integration of the two. The analysis of the influencing factors of the two integration of micro enterprises shows that the enterprise research and development information is intelligent and intelligent. The synergy of production equipment and supply chain has a great influence on the two integration, which can not be separated from the standardized information application system and a large amount of information input, especially for the application of intelligent production equipment and digital equipment field, which requires a large amount of funds and complex talents. The promotion of industry knowledge in the enterprise can lead to the two integration of enterprises in the whole industry. Finally, based on the results of the analysis of the previous factors, this paper puts forward the policy suggestions, clarifies the innovation point of this study, the limitations of the research and the direction of future research.

【学位授予单位】：南京大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F424;F49

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