多重机遇叠加下广西生态经济系统可持续发展情景模拟研究

发布时间：2018-02-13 13:31

本文关键词： 广西区域能值分析情景模拟可持续发展　出处：《生态经济》2017年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在西部大开发、中国—东盟合作及"一带一路"建设等多个国家战略叠加推动下,广西经济迅速发展,然而其人口的快速增加、大批临海重化工业项目的建设建成,以及商贸物流业的快速发展使本来就脆弱的生态环境更加恶化。论文在利用生态经济学的能值分析法测度广西不同年份能量流动指标的基础上,以情景模拟的方式,模拟在4种情景下能源消耗模式给广西可持续发展所带来的压力,从组合中找出适合广西经济可持续发展的模式,以此提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the western development, China ASEAN cooperation and The Belt and Road "for the construction of multiple national strategy superposition under the impetus of the rapid economic development of Guangxi, but the rapid increase of population, completed the construction of a large number of coastal heavy chemical industry projects, as well as the rapid development of logistics industry makes the already fragile ecological environment deterioration. This paper uses ecological economics emergy analysis based method to measure the energy flow index of Guangxi in different years, in the scenario simulations, simulations in 4 scenarios of energy consumption mode to the pressure brought by the sustainable development of Guangxi, to find out from the combination for the sustainable development of Guangxi economy mode, in order to put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.

【作者单位】：钦州学院经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金地区科学基金项目“多重机遇叠加下的北部湾物流产业生态位选择与构建研究”(71662066) 广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题“广西有效投资与经济增长研究”(15FJL003) 广西中青年教师基础能力提升项目“经济转型升级背景下广西要素配置与生产力动态研究”(KY2016YB468)
【分类号】：F127;X22

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