决策网络计划在工程项目物流风险中的决策研究

发布时间：2018-03-11 20:39

本文选题：工程项目物流　切入点：工程项目物流风险　出处：《昆明理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着经济社会的发展,工程项目物流在物流行业中扮演着越来越重要的角色,它涉及到各工业项目领域。工程项目物流源于工程项目,提供满足项目要求的物流服务,包括货物的运输、装卸、仓储、配送等环节。相较于普通物流,工程项目物流具有阶段性、风险性、连续性、复杂性、运输多样性的特点,其中风险性特点是本文着重阐述及讨论的问题。工程项目物流操作过程中环节多样复杂,往往伴随着风险。风险的产生会导致工期延误、成本增加、损坏物流企业信誉,最重要的是给客户蒙受巨大损失。为了识别物流环节中的风险,文中从工程项目物流的风险识别、风险评估、风险决策三个方面介绍了工程项目物流风险管理,详细介绍了物流企业在接受工程项目物流委托前如何制定一份科学、有效的物流实施方案,从而引入决策网络计划技术这一风险决策方法,为客户提供最优的物流方案及服务,降低风险,节约时间,提高效益。本文在最后采用具体实例,介绍了项目特点、制定物流方案、分析物流环节中存在的风险,最终以定量的方式建立风险决策模型选出最优方案。针对实例物流的部分环节识别风险的存在,提出应急预案,保证突发事件出现时,物流企业能做出快速反应,用应急预案最大可能降低风险、规避风险。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy and society, engineering project logistics plays a more and more important role in the logistics industry. It involves various fields of industrial projects. Engineering project logistics originates from engineering projects and provides logistics services that meet the requirements of projects. Compared with ordinary logistics, project logistics has the characteristics of stage, risk, continuity, complexity and variety of transportation. The characteristics of risk are the problems discussed in this paper. In the process of logistics operation of engineering project, various links are complicated and often accompanied by risks. The risk will lead to the delay of construction period, the increase of cost, and the damage to the reputation of logistics enterprises. In order to identify the risks in logistics, this paper introduces the risk management of project logistics from three aspects: risk identification, risk assessment and risk decision. This paper introduces in detail how the logistics enterprises make a scientific and effective logistics implementation plan before accepting the project logistics entrustment, so as to introduce the decision-making network planning technology, which is a risk decision method, to provide customers with the best logistics scheme and service. In the end, the paper introduces the characteristics of the project, formulates the logistics scheme, and analyzes the risks in the logistics link. Finally, the risk decision model is established in quantitative way to select the optimal scheme. Aiming at identifying the risk in some links of the case logistics, the emergency plan is put forward to ensure that the logistics enterprise can make a quick response when the emergency occurs. Use emergency plan to minimize risk and avoid risk.
【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F252

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