中国物流业碳排放影响因素的区域差异

发布时间：2018-10-23 07:56

【摘要】：物流业是碳排放的主要行业之一,分析物流业碳排放和影响因素的区域差异可为分区域制定减排措施提供科学依据。基于Panel data,利用IPCC方法测算我国30个省区2007—2014年物流业的碳排放量,运用LMDI模型将碳排放影响效应分解为能源结构、能源强度、经济发展和人口规模效应,并将全国划分为东、中、西三个区域,挖掘三个区域碳排放影响因素的差异。结果显示,就全国平均水平而言,经济发展效应是物流业碳排放最主要的正向效应,人口规模效应次之,能源强度效应是主要的负向效应,其次是能源结构效应;就区域差异而言,能源强度效应在东部地区的表现最明显,人口规模效应对西部地区的影响相对较大,经济发展效应对东部与西部地区的影响高于中部地区。
[Abstract]:Logistics industry is one of the main industries of carbon emissions. Analyzing the regional differences of carbon emissions and influencing factors in logistics industry can provide scientific basis for the formulation of emission reduction measures in different regions. Based on Panel data, the carbon emissions of logistics industry in 30 provinces and regions of China from 2007 to 2014 are estimated by using IPCC method. The effect of carbon emission is decomposed into energy structure, energy intensity, economic development and population scale effect by using LMDI model, and the whole country is divided into east. In the middle, west three regions, excavate the difference of the three regions carbon emission influence factors. The results show that the economic development effect is the main positive effect of carbon emission in the logistics industry, followed by the population scale effect, the energy intensity effect is the main negative effect, and the energy structure effect is the second. As far as regional differences are concerned, the effect of energy intensity is the most obvious in the eastern region, the effect of population scale is relatively large in the western region, and the effect of economic development on the eastern and western regions is higher than that in the central region.
【作者单位】：武汉工程大学管理学院;
【基金】：武汉工程大学“企业与环境协调发展研究中心”重点项目(编号:qy1501);武汉工程大学研究生教育创新基金项目(编号:CX2016117) 湖北省高等学校人文与社会科学重点研究基金“湖北人才发展研究中心项目”(编号:rcfz201602)
【分类号】：F259.2;X322

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