基于递阶层次风控模型的市政工程投资风险控制研究

发布时间：2018-04-12 18:33

本文选题：市政工程 + 风控模型　；参考：《山东大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着我国改革开放的不断深入,市场经济体制得到不断的完善,经济增长实现了持续的快速发展。特别是政府投资市政工程项目对城市发展起到非常重要的作用。我国政府投资市政工程项目管理体制和管理方式还存在薄弱环节,因而出现诸多如效率低下、资源浪费严重、滋生腐败现象等问题。因此,对政府投资市政工程项目的投资控制方式进一步深化改革。人们对投资控制的认识,是随着时代的发展、生产力的提高和管理科学理论的不断进步而逐步建立和加深的,从最初的家居建设投资控制,发展到现在对于地铁、轨道、立交桥等这样的大型项目的投资控制,经历了长时间的总结,政府投资项目的投资控制内容主要有决策阶段的投资控制、设计阶段的投资控制、招投标阶段的投资控制、施工阶段的投资控制以及竣工验收阶段的投资控制。投资控制是一项系统工程,各阶段投资控制工作相互衔接贯穿于项目实施的全过程,只有业主、设计、监理和施工单位等参与各方共同努力,才能有效地控制项目投资规模,才能更有效地使用人力、物力、财力,从而取得最大的投资效益,实现投资控制的最终目的。长期以来,我国由于受到体制、机制等因素的影响,往往忽略决策阶段和设计阶段的投资控制,普遍存在前期工作不充分,立项依据不足,决策失误严重等现象,造成投资的极大浪费。随着我国改革开放的不断深入,为推动经济社会的发展,大批国家投资的大型项目相继投入建设大规模的建设急需一套先进科学的理论和方法作为投资控制的依据,避免三超现象,以便提高我国投资和市政工程项目的经济效益。另外,我国实行国际招标的大型项目越来越多,如果仍然以原有的建立在标准定额基础上的概预算管理办法去参加国际工程的管理,无法与国际惯例接轨,从而造成管理工作上的困难与混乱。总而言之,不管是从我国投资控制的现状出发,还是从国家经济体制改革的要求出发,在国家大规模进行基础建设和现代化建设的过程中,在国家各种投资存在严重三超问题的今天,我们急需投资控制的理论和方法,这是选择本课题的重要意义。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's reform and opening up, the market economy system has been constantly improved, economic growth has achieved sustained and rapid development.In particular, government investment in municipal projects plays a very important role in urban development.There are still some weak links in the management system and mode of government investment in municipal engineering projects, so there are many problems such as low efficiency, serious waste of resources, corruption and so on.Therefore, the government investment in municipal projects investment control way to further deepen the reform.People's understanding of investment control is gradually established and deepened with the development of the times, the improvement of productivity and the continuous progress of the scientific theory of management. From the initial investment control of home construction to the development of the subway and track now,The investment control of such large projects as overpass has experienced a long period of summary. The contents of investment control of government investment projects are mainly investment control in decision-making stage, investment control in design stage, investment control in bidding stage.Investment control at construction stage and investment control at completion acceptance stage.Investment control is a systematic engineering, and the investment control work of each stage is connected through the whole process of the project implementation. Only the joint efforts of the owners, design, supervision and construction units can effectively control the investment scale of the project.In order to use manpower, material resources and financial resources more effectively, we can obtain the maximum investment benefit and realize the ultimate goal of investment control.For a long time, because of the influence of system, mechanism and other factors, our country often ignores the investment control in the decision-making stage and the design stage. There are many phenomena in our country, such as insufficient work in the early stage, insufficient basis for establishing a project, serious mistakes in decision making, etc.A great waste of investment.With the deepening of China's reform and opening up, in order to promote economic and social development, a large number of large projects invested by the state have been put into construction, and large-scale construction is in urgent need of a set of advanced scientific theories and methods as the basis for investment control.In order to improve the economic benefits of investment and municipal engineering projects in China, the phenomenon of "three superfluous" should be avoided.In addition, there are more and more large-scale projects in our country that carry out international bidding. If we still take part in the management of international projects with the original budget estimate management method, which is based on standard quotas, we will not be able to keep pace with international practices.As a result, the management of the difficulties and confusion.In a word, whether from the current situation of investment control in China or from the requirements of the reform of the national economic system, in the process of large-scale infrastructure construction and modernization of the country,At a time when there are serious three super problems in various kinds of investment in our country, we urgently need the theory and method of investment control, which is the important meaning of choosing this subject.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F283

【共引文献】