SQ城市供暖工程项目风险管理研究
发布时间：2018-10-21 16:38
【摘要】：SQ城市供暖工程项目作为EPC总承包工程项目,在实施过程中存在着来源于各方面的干扰和不确定性因素,使项目在费用、工期、质量、安全和运行效益等方面可能面临预期目标无法实现的风险。SQ城市供暖工程项目对本地区的经济发展具有重大意义,因此根据SQ项目自身的特点,研究该项目风险管理体系,设计项目风险管理方案、分析影响项目顺利实施的风险因素并制定相应的风险应对策略既是项目顺利完成的必要工作,也具备一定的理论价值和现实意义。 本文首先通过文献调研,对项目风险管理理论与项目生命周期理论进行了研究,并将风险管理置于项目生命周期各个阶段,在此基础上构建基于项目生命周期的风险管理过程应用模型。在结合EPC总承包模式的特点及各阶段工作流程的前提下,将该风险管理过程模型应用其中,充分考虑了风险管理过程的循环反馈作用,进而实现针对项目风险的持续化系统化与规范化管理。论文以工程项目生命周期风险管理的理论和方法为指导,在对SQ城市供暖工程项目的建设背景、实施难点、合同目标以及方案规划进行调查分析的基础上,以定性分析方法识别SQ项目各阶段的风险因素并将其划分为6个一级指标和27个二级指标,随后利用层次分析法对SQ项目各阶段风险进行风险评价,得出了一级指标相对于总目标、二级指标相对于一级指标以及二级指标相对于总目标的权重,并据此选择SQ项目风险应对策略。在项目风险应对中对风险应对的基本方法如风险规避、风险转移、风险缓解、风险自留和风险利用进行分析,就各阶段重要性风险提出适合SQ项目风险应对的方法,并构建风险监控体系。论文研究的基本目的是减少项目的风险损失,确保SQ项目保质保量如期完成。
[Abstract]:As a general contract project of EPC, the SQ urban heating project has various interference and uncertainty factors in the process of implementation, which makes the project in cost, duration and quality. The SQ urban heating project is of great significance to the economic development of the region. Therefore, according to the characteristics of the SQ project, the risk management system of the project is studied. Designing the project risk management scheme, analyzing the risk factors that affect the successful implementation of the project and formulating corresponding risk coping strategies are not only the necessary work for the successful completion of the project, but also have certain theoretical value and practical significance. First of all, through literature research, this paper studies the theory of project risk management and the theory of project life cycle, and puts risk management in each stage of the project life cycle. On this basis, the risk management process application model based on project life cycle is constructed. Combined with the characteristics of EPC general contracting mode and the work flow of each stage, the risk management process model is applied, and the circular feedback function of risk management process is fully considered. And then realize the sustainable systematization and standardized management of project risk. Guided by the theory and method of project life cycle risk management, the paper investigates and analyzes the construction background, implementation difficulties, contract objectives and program planning of SQ urban heating project. The qualitative analysis method is used to identify the risk factors in each stage of the SQ project, which is divided into 6 first-grade indexes and 27 second-level indexes. Then, the risk assessment of each stage of the SQ project is carried out by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The weight of the first class index relative to the total target, the second class index relative to the first class index and the second class index relative to the total target are obtained, and the SQ project risk coping strategy is selected accordingly. The basic methods of risk response, such as risk aversion, risk transfer, risk mitigation, risk retention and risk utilization, are analyzed in this paper. And build a risk monitoring system. The basic purpose of this paper is to reduce the risk loss of the project and ensure that the quality and quantity of the SQ project is completed on time.
【学位授予单位】：西南石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TU71;TU832
本文编号：2285714
[Abstract]:As a general contract project of EPC, the SQ urban heating project has various interference and uncertainty factors in the process of implementation, which makes the project in cost, duration and quality. The SQ urban heating project is of great significance to the economic development of the region. Therefore, according to the characteristics of the SQ project, the risk management system of the project is studied. Designing the project risk management scheme, analyzing the risk factors that affect the successful implementation of the project and formulating corresponding risk coping strategies are not only the necessary work for the successful completion of the project, but also have certain theoretical value and practical significance. First of all, through literature research, this paper studies the theory of project risk management and the theory of project life cycle, and puts risk management in each stage of the project life cycle. On this basis, the risk management process application model based on project life cycle is constructed. Combined with the characteristics of EPC general contracting mode and the work flow of each stage, the risk management process model is applied, and the circular feedback function of risk management process is fully considered. And then realize the sustainable systematization and standardized management of project risk. Guided by the theory and method of project life cycle risk management, the paper investigates and analyzes the construction background, implementation difficulties, contract objectives and program planning of SQ urban heating project. The qualitative analysis method is used to identify the risk factors in each stage of the SQ project, which is divided into 6 first-grade indexes and 27 second-level indexes. Then, the risk assessment of each stage of the SQ project is carried out by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The weight of the first class index relative to the total target, the second class index relative to the first class index and the second class index relative to the total target are obtained, and the SQ project risk coping strategy is selected accordingly. The basic methods of risk response, such as risk aversion, risk transfer, risk mitigation, risk retention and risk utilization, are analyzed in this paper. And build a risk monitoring system. The basic purpose of this paper is to reduce the risk loss of the project and ensure that the quality and quantity of the SQ project is completed on time.
【学位授予单位】：西南石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：TU71;TU832
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