我国石油开发项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-03-01 03:11

本文关键词： 石油开发项目风险管理 BP神经网络　出处：《东北石油大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：石油是工业的血液,石油开发项目的风险管理关系到我国工业的发展。我国石油开发项目的风险管理还存在许多问题,如何全面的推进我国石油开发项目的风险管理研究,充分发挥我国石油开发项目的风险管理作用,有效的促进我国石油开发项目的高效快速的运行,是当今时代研究学者普遍关注的问题。论文的相关研究工作,既可以丰富我国石油开发项目风险管理的研究成果,还可以为我国其他企业项目的风险管理提供参考意见,具有一定的理论与实践意义。石油开发项目风险管理研究是以风险概述及相关概念界定、项目风险识别理论、项目风险评价理论、可持续发展理论为基础,按照“风险识别——风险评价——风险应对”的研究思路,对我国石油开发项目风险管理进行分析研究。首先,阐述本文研究的理论依据,其次,采用头脑风暴法识别出我国石油开发项目存在的风险因素,构建了我国石油开发项目风险管理综合评价指标体系,为了增强实践效果,在原有评价指标体系的基础上增加计划合理性和任务要求明确性这两个指标,应用实践效果要好于原有评价指标体系。再次,通过BP神经网络的评价方法进行评价,通过评价结果得出我国石油开发项目风险归类,从风险评价结果及专家打分情况发现我国石油开发项目风险管理存在的问题,相关政策法规还不完善,决策缺乏科学性,领导者风险管理素质低下等,最后,在评价分析的基础上,提出我国石油开发项目风险应对措施。文章最后得出结论,并对全文进行了总结说明。
[Abstract]:Petroleum is the blood of industry, and the risk management of petroleum development projects is related to the development of Chinese industry. There are still many problems in the risk management of petroleum development projects in China. Giving full play to the role of risk management of petroleum development projects in China and effectively promoting the efficient and rapid operation of oil development projects in China is a common concern of researchers in the present era. It can not only enrich the research results of risk management of petroleum development projects in China, but also provide reference for the risk management of other enterprises in China. The research on risk management of petroleum development project is based on the definition of risk, the theory of project risk identification, the theory of project risk evaluation and the theory of sustainable development. According to the research idea of "risk identification-risk evaluation-risk response", this paper analyzes and studies the risk management of petroleum development projects in China. The risk factors of petroleum development projects in China are identified by brainstorming method, and the comprehensive evaluation index system of petroleum development project risk management in China is constructed, in order to enhance the effect of practice, a comprehensive evaluation index system of petroleum development project risk management in China is established. On the basis of the original evaluation index system, the two indexes of plan rationality and task requirement clarity are added, and the practical effect is better than that of the original evaluation index system. Thirdly, the evaluation method of BP neural network is used to evaluate. The risk classification of petroleum development projects in China is obtained through the evaluation results, and the problems in risk management of petroleum development projects in our country are found from the risk evaluation results and the scoring situation of experts. The relevant policies and regulations are not perfect, and the decision-making is not scientific. The quality of leader's risk management is low. Finally, on the basis of evaluation and analysis, the paper puts forward the measures to deal with the risks of petroleum development projects in China. Finally, the paper draws a conclusion and makes a summary of the full text.
【学位授予单位】：东北石油大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：TE34;TU712

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