英国体育产业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究
发布时间:2018-11-22 16:40
【摘要】:为了从理论角度探讨英国体育产业发展与国民经济增长的内在作用机制,采用协整关系检验、误差修正模型估计、格兰杰因果关系验证等计量方法,对英国体育产业发展与经济增长之间的长期均衡关系和短期动态关联进行实证分析。结果表明:样本期内英国体育产业发展和经济增长的水平时间序列是平稳的,英国体育产业发展与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,英国体育产业发展每提升1%,将带动本国经济总量水平上升0.83%。英国体育产业发展对经济增长的短期拉动效应不可忽视,且英国良好的社会经济发展环境也为进一步提高体育产业产值创造了条件,两者间存在比较显著的双向因果联动关系,即短时期内英国体育产业发展与经济增长间已经形成了相互促进、彼此带动、共同制约的作用机制。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the internal mechanism of the development of British sports industry and the growth of the national economy from the theoretical point of view, this paper adopts the measurement methods such as cointegration test, error correction model estimation, Granger causality test, etc. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between the development of British sports industry and economic growth. The results show that the time series of British sports industry development and economic growth in the sample period is stable, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the British sports industry development and economic growth. It will lead to a rise in the country's total economic output by 0. 83 percent. The short-term pulling effect of the development of British sports industry on economic growth can not be ignored, and the favorable social and economic development environment of Britain has created conditions for further raising the output value of sports industry, and there is a relatively significant two-way causal linkage between the two. That is to say, in a short period of time, the development of British sports industry and economic growth have formed a mutual promotion, mutual driving, common constraints mechanism.
【作者单位】: 重庆师范大学体育学院;聊城大学;
【基金】:重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目(14SKE05) 重庆市体育局科研项目(B201420)
【分类号】:G80-05
[Abstract]:In order to explore the internal mechanism of the development of British sports industry and the growth of the national economy from the theoretical point of view, this paper adopts the measurement methods such as cointegration test, error correction model estimation, Granger causality test, etc. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between the development of British sports industry and economic growth. The results show that the time series of British sports industry development and economic growth in the sample period is stable, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the British sports industry development and economic growth. It will lead to a rise in the country's total economic output by 0. 83 percent. The short-term pulling effect of the development of British sports industry on economic growth can not be ignored, and the favorable social and economic development environment of Britain has created conditions for further raising the output value of sports industry, and there is a relatively significant two-way causal linkage between the two. That is to say, in a short period of time, the development of British sports industry and economic growth have formed a mutual promotion, mutual driving, common constraints mechanism.
【作者单位】: 重庆师范大学体育学院;聊城大学;
【基金】:重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目(14SKE05) 重庆市体育局科研项目(B201420)
【分类号】:G80-05
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