中日产业内贸易的发展状况及其决定因素研究

发布时间：2018-02-01 18:38

本文关键词： 产业内贸易 G-L指数决定因素　出处：《东南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：20世纪60年代以来,国际上对外贸易理论开始了一场全新改革,传统产业间的对外贸易理论的解释受到巨大挑战。产业内贸易指和传统的产业间贸易完全不同的贸易模式,首先产生于发达国家之中,而后拓展到发达国家和发展中国家间。在工业化程度高度发达的国家中,产业内贸易是全球对外贸易的主流,但是发展中的国家,尤其在新兴的工业化国家,产业内贸易水平也逐步提升。国际贸易方式的变化和国家之间经济结构具有内部逻辑关系,能够反应出国家之间比较优势的动态变化态势及分工方式的演变,与此同时还能够反应国家之间产业结构和科学技术的差别。所以研究分析产业内贸易不仅国际贸易演进的一种必然趋势,对分析国际分工结构也具有重大意义。中国和日本地缘相近,经济贸易来往关系密切,尤其是90年代以后,伴随中国经济快速发展和产品结构迅速升级,中日两国的贸易关系更加密切,贸易总额持续提高,两国之间的贸易方式也产生了明显的变化,产业内贸易额在中国和日本的贸易额中占的比例显著增加。在这样的背景下,本文首先回归国内外有关产业内贸易理论和中日产业内贸易的研究文献,明确了产业内贸易的概念,产业内贸易水平的衡量方法和分类标准。接着介绍了中国和日本贸易发展的概况,然后以中日产业内贸易做为研究的对象,基于HS分类标准,通过测算G-L指数对中国和日本的产业内贸易总水平以及各个分类商品的产业内贸易进行研究。接着又从产品特征、贸易结构这两个方面对中日产业内贸易作了深入的分析,并由此得出中日双边产业内贸易仍然以垂直型产业内贸易为主的结论。通过实证回归分析研究得到中日产业内贸易的决定因素,中日人均差异水平的扩大以及日本对华直接投资的增加都能促进中日产业内贸易的发展,而中日市场开放度与中日产业内贸易水平负相关。最后从企业,政府和产业这三个层面对我国发展产业内贸易,优化对外贸易战略提供新的思路。
[Abstract]:Since 1960s, the international foreign trade theory has begun a new reform. The interpretation of the traditional theory of inter-industry foreign trade has been greatly challenged. Intra-industry trade refers to a completely different trade model from the traditional inter-industry trade, which first emerged in the developed countries. In the highly industrialized countries, intra-industry trade is the mainstream of the global foreign trade, but the developing countries, especially in the newly industrialized countries. The change of international trade mode and the economic structure among countries have internal logical relations, which can reflect the dynamic change of comparative advantage among countries and the evolution of division of labor. At the same time, it can also reflect the differences of industrial structure and science and technology among countries. Therefore, the study and analysis of intra-industry trade is not only an inevitable trend of the evolution of international trade. It is also of great significance to analyze the structure of international division of labor. China and Japan are geographically close and have close economic and trade relations, especially after 90s, with the rapid development of Chinese economy and the rapid upgrading of product structure. The trade relations between China and Japan have become closer, the total volume of trade has continued to increase, and the mode of trade between the two countries has also changed markedly. Intra-industry trade volume in China and Japan account for a significant increase in the proportion of trade. In this context, this paper first returned to domestic and foreign intra-industry trade theory and Sino-Japanese intra-industry trade research literature. This paper clarifies the concept of intra-industry trade, the measurement method and classification standard of intra-industry trade level, then introduces the general situation of trade development between China and Japan, and then takes intra-industry trade between China and Japan as the research object. Based on HS classification standard, this paper studies the total level of intra-industry trade between China and Japan and the intra-industry trade of each classified commodity by measuring G-L index. The trade structure makes a deep analysis on the intra-industry trade between China and Japan. And draw the conclusion that Sino-Japanese bilateral intra-industry trade is still vertical intra-industry trade. Through empirical regression analysis we get the determinants of Sino-Japanese intra-industry trade. The expansion of the per capita difference between China and Japan and the increase of Japanese direct investment in China can promote the development of intra-industry trade between China and Japan, while the degree of market openness between China and Japan is negatively correlated with the level of intra-industry trade between China and Japan. The three levels of government and industry provide new ideas for developing intra-industry trade and optimizing foreign trade strategy.
【学位授予单位】：东南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7

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