文化产业尚需成为“国民消费支柱性产业”——推动中国文化产业发展的另一种路向

发布时间：2018-02-23 13:23

本文关键词： 文化产业生产供给消费需求内生驱动　出处：《云南社会科学》2017年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：2004-2014年全国文化产值比从2.15%上升为3.76%,居民文化消费率由2.75%下降为2.34%,两项比值呈现"剪刀差"逆向走势,文化生产供给与消费需求增长之间相互游离。中国文化产业发展尚需"内生动力"驱动,成为"国民消费支柱性产业"。假定2014年全国居民文化消费率达到历年最高值,那么城乡文化消费总量应达19238.93亿元,为现有总量14915.39亿元的1.29倍;假定文化供需增长关系保持历年最佳状态,那么文化消费总量应达23092.58亿元,为现有总量的1.55倍;假定居民文化消费率达到5%,那么文化消费总量应达31806.94亿元,为现有总量的2.13倍。
[Abstract]:From 2004 to 2014, the ratio of national cultural output value rose from 2.15% to 3.76, and the rate of cultural consumption of residents decreased from 2.75% to 2.34. The two ratios showed a reverse trend of "scissors difference". The development of Chinese cultural industry needs to be driven by "endogenous power" and become a "pillar industry of national consumption". Assuming that in 2014, the cultural consumption rate of Chinese residents reached the highest level in the past years. Then the total amount of cultural consumption in urban and rural areas should reach one tillion nine hundred and twenty-three billion eight hundred and ninety-three million yuan, which is 1.29 times that of the existing total amount of one tillion four hundred and ninety-one billion five hundred and thirty-nine million yuan, assuming that the growth of cultural supply and demand remains the best state in the past years, then the total amount of cultural consumption should reach two tillion three hundred and nine billion two hundred and fifty-eight million yuan, which is 1.55 times of the existing total amount. Assuming that the rate of cultural consumption is 5 yuan, the total amount of cultural consumption should reach three tillion one hundred and eighty billion six hundred and ninety-four million yuan, 2.13 times of the existing total.
【作者单位】：云南省社会科学院;云南省社会科学院文化研究中心;
【分类号】：G124

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