山东省产业结构调整与经济增长关系的研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 20:50

本文选题：产业结构变迁 + 经济增长　；参考：《曲阜师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：2015年11月10日召开的中央财经领导小组第十一次会议上,习近平提出“在扩大总需求的同时,加强供给侧结构性改革”,山东省也提出相应的“十三五”规划期间任务目标。以此为背景,本文运用山东省宏观经济数据,通过趋势对比、“偏离份额法”和索洛残余等经济基础,对1978年至2014年山东省产业结构与经济增长的关系进行研究。研究后我们发现改革开放以来山东省产业结构调整与经济增长的关系有以下特点:三次产业结构比例趋于稳定,但还有发展的空间,其区域发展不均衡;山东省产业结构的调整对其经济增长的贡献极大;山东省经济增长的动力主要源于要素禀赋的积累,技术进步并不是经济增长的主要动力;第三产业比重需要提高,产业结构的合理性有待进一步提升。论文分为六方面内容:第一部分为绪论,阐述了论文的背景和意义,以及国内外学者对产业结构与经济增长的研究现状,并且介绍论文的研究方法、研究框架等;第二部分对山东省产业结构与经济发展进行简要述评,介绍山东省产业结构演进趋势特点,并将山东省分为东中西部进行经济发展对比;第三部分运用“偏离份额法”研究山东省产业结构变迁对生产效率的影响,得出产业结构变迁对经济增长的贡献;第四部分将产业结构分为产业结构高度化和产业结构合理化两个动态维度,对山东省产业结构的高度化和合理化水平进行评价;第五部分以索洛残余定义和CD函数为基础,对改革开放以来山东省经济增长中的技术进步进行研究,得到全要素生产率增长率的变化趋势及其对经济增长的贡献率;第六部分结合前几部分对山东省产业结构与经济增长的研究,总结出山东省产业结构与经济增长特点及结论,并对其实现“十三五”规划目标和推进供给侧结构性改革提出建议。
[Abstract]:At the 11th meeting of the Central leading Group on Finance and Economics, held on November 10, 2015, Xi Jinping proposed "strengthening supply-side structural reform while expanding aggregate demand", and Shandong Province also put forward corresponding mission objectives for the 13th Five-Year Plan period. Against this background, this paper studies the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth of Shandong Province from 1978 to 2014 by using the macroeconomic data of Shandong Province, through trend comparison, "deviation share method" and Solow's residual economic basis. After the study, we find that the relationship between industrial structure adjustment and economic growth in Shandong Province since the reform and opening up has the following characteristics: the proportion of three industrial structure tends to be stable, but there is room for development, and the regional development is not balanced; The adjustment of industrial structure in Shandong Province contributes greatly to its economic growth. The motive force of economic growth in Shandong Province is mainly derived from the accumulation of factor endowments. Technological progress is not the main driving force of economic growth. The proportion of the tertiary industry needs to be increased. The rationality of industrial structure needs to be further improved. The thesis is divided into six aspects: the first part is the introduction, which describes the background and significance of the paper, as well as the domestic and foreign scholars on the industrial structure and economic growth, and introduces the research methods, research framework and so on; The second part briefly reviews the industrial structure and economic development of Shandong Province, introduces the characteristics of the evolution trend of industrial structure of Shandong Province, and divides Shandong Province into the east, the middle and the west to carry on the economic development contrast; The third part studies the effect of the industrial structure change on the production efficiency by the method of "deviation share", and draws the contribution of the industrial structure change to the economic growth. In the fourth part, the industrial structure is divided into two dynamic dimensions of industrial structure elevation and industrial structure rationalization, the fifth part is based on Solow residual definition and CD function. This paper studies the technological progress in the economic growth of Shandong Province since the reform and opening up, and obtains the change trend of total factor productivity growth rate and its contribution rate to economic growth. The sixth part summarizes the characteristics and conclusions of the industrial structure and economic growth of Shandong Province, combined with the previous parts of the study of industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province. Some suggestions are put forward to realize the third five-year plan and promote the structural reform on the supply side.
【学位授予单位】：曲阜师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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