铁路快递货物运输需求分析及产品体系设计

发布时间：2018-05-28 15:55

本文选题：铁路 + 快递货物运输　；参考：《北京交通大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着电子商务的快速发展,快递货物运输需求大幅度增长。其中多品类、小批量、高附加值货物运量增长迅速,这类货物对运输的速度和条件有较高的要求。当前,中国铁路运输网络完善,运输技术水平提升,货运能力大幅度提升,进一步发展铁路快速货物运输,不仅可以满足客户对高附加值货物高时效性的要求,也迎合了铁路货运改革的要求,对铁路适应经济社会发展,提高运输市场份额有重要意义。本文在中国铁路总公司相关课题研究的基础上,对铁路快递货物运输需求及快运产品体系进行深入研究和探索。论文调查研究了快递货物运输市场的现状和目标定位、阅读相关文献了解国内外铁路快运产品发展情况,梳理我国铁路快运产品的发展现状及存在问题。通过分析快递货物宏观环境,确定其影响因素,同时考虑各区域发展存在差异,论文建立我国快递业务量需求预测的面板数据模型,预测了 2020年全国各省区快递业务量。基于既有货运情况运用复杂网络算法对铁路快递货物运输节点重要性研究,并对全国铁路快运网络节点城市进行规划。在其基础上计算铁路快递货物市场份额并测算各城市间相互联系的强度,确定各城市间快递业务吸引强度,根据各城市的铁路快递货物运量构建货流OD预测模型预测城市间的铁路快递货物货流OD矩阵。最后在上述确定的节点城市间的铁路快递货物运输需求OD量及运输距离的基础上,设计了三个维度两种产品系列,共36类铁路快运新产品方案,并从核心产品、形式产品、延伸产品三个产品层次构建了铁路快运产品体系,为开发铁路快递货物运输产品提供参考。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of e-commerce, express freight transport demand has increased significantly. Among them, multi-category, small batch, high value added goods increase rapidly, these goods have higher requirements for the speed and conditions of transportation. At present, China's railway transportation network is perfect, the transportation technology level is improved, the freight transport capacity is greatly improved, and the further development of railway rapid freight transport can not only meet the customer's demand for high timeliness of high value-added goods. It also caters to the requirements of railway freight transport reform, which is of great significance for railway to adapt to the development of economy and society and to increase the market share of transportation. On the basis of the related research of China Railway Corporation, this paper makes a deep research and exploration on the demand of express freight transportation and the system of express transportation products. This paper investigates and studies the present situation and target orientation of express freight transportation market, reads the relevant documents to find out the development situation of railway express transportation products at home and abroad, and combs the present situation and existing problems of railway express transportation products in China. By analyzing the macro environment of express delivery goods and determining its influencing factors and considering the differences in the development of different regions, this paper establishes a panel data model for forecasting the demand of express delivery business in China, and forecasts the volume of express delivery business in all provinces and regions in 2020. Based on the existing freight transportation situation, the importance of railway express freight transport nodes is studied by using complex network algorithm, and the national railway express transportation network node cities are planned. On the basis of it, the market share of railway express goods is calculated and the intensity of interrelation between cities is calculated, and the attraction intensity of express service among cities is determined. According to the quantity of railway express cargo in each city, the OD matrix of freight flow between cities is predicted by constructing the OD forecast model of freight flow. Finally, on the basis of the OD quantity and transportation distance of rail express freight transportation between the above defined node cities, this paper designs three dimensions and two product series, a total of 36 kinds of railway express new product scheme, and from the core product, form product, The system of railway express transportation products is constructed by extending the three product levels of products, which provides reference for the development of railway express freight transport products.
【学位授予单位】：北京交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：U294

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