中国纺织品服装出口复杂度研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 09:02

本文关键词：中国纺织品服装出口复杂度研究　出处：《浙江大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：纺织服装业是我国重要的国计民生支柱产业。随着近年来国内消费市场萎靡,世界经济发展疲乏,三驾马车中纺织品服装的对外贸易尤为引入关注。2013年,我国纺织品服装出口总额达到2739.88亿美元,同比增长11.33%,同时在国际出口领域占据绝对第一的位置。为此,本文摆脱以往的数量指标,从出口质量角度来研究探讨我国纺织品服装业及其细分行业出口的现状及发展趋势。出口复杂度概念由Hausmann提出,主要用来测度和衡量国家、产业或产品出口的技术水平含量。本文将其运用到我国纺织品服装的出口领域,进行相关研究,得到以下结论。第一,本文利用纺织品服装出口复杂度模型,对1992年至2012年间世界主要国家和地区的纺织业及其细分行业出口复杂度进行测算分析。结果表明,我国纺织品服装的出口复杂度呈现出较为典型的“N”型走势,在波动中有了较大的提高,从1992年的5193.11美元提升到2012年的11344.75美元,年均增长率为3.98%；但是,我国纺织品服装出口复杂度在国际层面上依然处在世界中下游水平,与德国、意大利等发达国家差距较大,这也进一步说明我国纺织品服装出口技术水平较低,出口质量不高。第二,在纺织品服装出口复杂度主要影响因素的实证研究中,本文引入人均GDP、出口单价和出口总额三个变量。结果表明,这些变量均能不同程度的正向提升世界纺织品服装的出口复杂度,其中人均GDP作用最为显著,其弹性系数达到0.41,出口总额次之,出口单价最弱,弹性系数分别为0.058和0.061。可能的原因有,经济发展推动纺织品服装消费需求,使企业转向生产利润更高的产品；出口增长促使纺织企业获得足够资本积累,从而加快高技术研发创新,进一步推动出口复杂度的提升。第三,本文认为我国纺织产业的发展需要实践科学发展观,优化产业结构,促进产业转型升级。从出口角度看,纺织企业要注重产品的研发创新和知识产权保护,加快高技术含量、高附加值产品的对外出口；打造纺织品服装的知名品牌与企业文化,有效提高出口价格；采取多元化的出口市场方针,不断开拓新兴市场；在政策扶持的引导下,通过建立产、学、研一体的创新机制,实现纺织产业的现代化,只有这样才能从“纺织大国”建设成真正的“纺织强国”。
[Abstract]:The textile and clothing industry is an important pillar industry in China . With the development of domestic consumption market in recent years , the world economy is weak and the foreign trade of textile clothing in the troika is especially concerned . In 2013 , the total export volume of textile and clothing in China reached 273.88 billion yuan , up 11.33 % year - on - year . At the same time , the present situation and development trend of export of textile and clothing industry in China and its subdivision industry were studied from the perspective of export quality . First , the paper makes a calculation and analysis on the export complexity of textile industry and its subdivision industry in the world ' s major countries and regions from 1992 to 2012 . The results show that the export complexity of textile clothing in our country shows a relatively typical " N " trend , and the annual growth rate is 3.98 % . However , China ' s textile and clothing export complexity is still in the middle and lower level of the world at the international level , and the gap between the developed countries such as Germany and Italy is relatively large , which further indicates that China ' s textile clothing export is low in technology level and the export quality is not high . Secondly , in the empirical research on the main influencing factors of textile clothing export complexity , the article introduces three variables of per capita GDP , export price and total exports . The results show that these variables can improve the export complexity of the world textile garment in different degrees . The result shows that the average GDP per capita is the most significant , the export price is the weakest , the elastic coefficient is 0.058 and 0.061 respectively . The possible causes are that the economic development pushes the consumption demand of the textile clothing , and the export growth drives the textile enterprises to get enough capital accumulation , thus speeding up the innovation of high - tech R & D and further promoting the upgrading of export complexity . Third , this paper believes that the development of textile industry in China needs to practice the scientific development view , optimize the industrial structure and promote the transformation and upgrading of industry . From the perspective of export , textile enterprises should pay attention to the development and innovation of the products and the protection of intellectual property rights , speed up the export price of high technology content and high value added products .

【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.62;F426.81

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