我国有色金属消费与经济增长关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-14 03:14

本文关键词：我国有色金属消费与经济增长关系研究　出处：《哈尔滨工业大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国工业化进程的加快，金属消费尤其是作为支撑国民经济的有色金属消费对于经济发展的作用越来越明显，作为有色金属消费第一大国，我国的有色金属还存在着供需不平衡的问题，当前我国正处于工业化中期阶段，，有效把握有色金属消费规律，掌握有色金属消费需求，有利于我国调整好有色金属供需关系，科学的制定有色金属产业政策，加快工业化过程的实现。本文着重选取了铜铝锌作为对有色金属的研究对象，通过对它们消费数据以及经济增长数据的整理分析，找出了我国有色金属的消费规律以及有色金属消费与我国经济发展之间的关系。文章在对前人研究文献的基础上，首先从理论上对我国有色金属消费规律做了相关的鉴定，选用美日发达国家的工业化期间的有色金属消费规律作为参考与借鉴，并分析了我国的有色金属消费规律。其次，研究了我国当前的有色金属产业消费状况，包括有色金属应用现状，消费现状，有色金属净出口现状以及有色金属消费的影响因素。接着，运用excel与eviews从实证角度对我国有色金属消费与经济增长的关系进行了分析，选取的指标包括有色金属消费率、有色金属经济增长贡献率、以及有色金属经济增长率贡献率、有色金属消费强度以及有色金属消费弹性。在此基础上，选取美德日韩意五国先期工业化国家作为研究样本，预测了我国未来30年工业化进程中的有色金属消费。最后，为我国当前的有色金属产业发展提出了相关政策建议。本文研究发现，有色金属的消费并不是经济增长的原因，但是经济增长是驱动有色金属消费的原因，这说明，消费并不一定能带来经济增长，适度的合理的消费才能带来经济增长。本文还发现，我国的有色金属增长平缓点将在2036年左右出现，这将意味着我国的工业化进程能够在20年后完成。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of China's industrialization, especially non-ferrous metal consumption as consumer support for the national economy more and more significant role in economic development, as the non-ferrous metal consumption superpower, China Nonferrous Metals there is imbalance between supply and demand, at present our country is in the middle stage of industrialization, effectively grasp the consumer behavior of colored master metal, non-ferrous metal consumption demand, is conducive to China's adjustment of nonferrous metal supply and demand relations, the establishment of scientific policy of non-ferrous metal industry, speeding up the industrialization process.
This paper selects the copper aluminum and zinc as the research object of non-ferrous metals, through analysis of their consumption data and economic growth data, find out the relationship between consumption of China's non-ferrous metals and non-ferrous metal consumption and economic development in China. Based on the previous research literature, first of all to do the relevant the identification from the theory of law of China's non-ferrous metal consumption, non-ferrous metal consumption of selected developed countries during industrialization as reference, and analyzes the law of China's non-ferrous metal consumption. Secondly, study the current consumption situation of nonferrous metal industry, including the current situation of nonferrous metal consumption, application status, factors nonferrous metal net export status and influence of non-ferrous metal consumption. Then, using the excel and Eviews of non-ferrous metal consumption and economic growth in China from the perspective of empirical The relationship was analyzed, the selected indicators including non-ferrous metals non-ferrous metal consumption rate, the contribution rate of economic growth, economic growth rate and non-ferrous metal contribution rate, non-ferrous metal consumption intensity and non-ferrous metal consumption elasticity. On this basis, select the virtues of Italy advanced industrialized countries Japan and South Korea as the research sample, the prediction of non-ferrous metals consumption in the next 30 years in the process of industrialization of our country. Finally, we put forward some policy recommendations for China's current non-ferrous metal industry development.
This study found that the reason of non-ferrous metal consumption is not economic growth, but economic growth is driven, non-ferrous metal consumption which shows that consumption does not necessarily bring economic growth, economic growth can bring moderate and reasonable consumption. This paper also found that China's nonferrous metals will slow growth appear in around 2036. This means that China's industrialization process can be completed in 20 years.

【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.32;F124

【参考文献】