转型发展时期制造业企业劳动力供需分析

发布时间：2018-02-06 07:57

本文关键词： 制造业劳动力供需转型时期　出处：《上海社会科学院》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国制造业经过三十多年的发展,其工业总产值已经位居世界前列,对中国经济发展也起到越来越重要的作用,特别是在当下的转型发展时期,中国制造业劳动力供需面临的形势将更加复杂。对劳动力供需预测方法的总结和梳理后,选择定量与定性相结合的方法进行分析预测,‘围绕制造业劳动力供需现状和2020年前的劳动力供需形势展开讨论。其次,分别研究预测了劳动密集型、技术密集型两大制造业行业的劳动力供需概况,最后结合典型的企业案例提出相应的政策建议。比较全面和系统地阐述我国制造业企业未来几年劳动力的供需变化、用工特点及趋势。预测结果表明2020年前制造业企业就业数量将维持在1.2-1.6亿左右,而劳动力供给趋势显示将有较充足的劳动力人口供给保障。近些年企业面临的“招工难”的问题根源并不是因为劳动力供需数量本身的失衡,而是因为受到劳动力供给的人员结构、年龄、受教育程度、新生代制造业就业群体需求变化以及转型期的宏观经济形势、产业结构调整等影响,制造业企业想要招聘符合企业发展要求的人才,难度加大。另外,通过分行业研究和预测可以看出转型时期下的劳动密集型制造业应将员工管理模式作为企业发展的重点,而技术密集型制造业应强化技术人员的培训发展体系建设。相同的是,制造业劳动力对技术类人员的需求明显增加,在人口老龄化日益严重的未来,应该重点提高人口质量,一方面政府可以通过宏观政策调控给予制造业企业更多的支持,另一方面企业本身也需要根据劳动力市场变化,践行“以人为本”,大力建设人才培养体系。
[Abstract]:After more than 30 years' development, China's manufacturing industry has already ranked the forefront of the world's total industrial output value, which plays an increasingly important role in China's economic development, especially in the current period of transformation and development. The situation of labor supply and demand in Chinese manufacturing industry will be more complicated. After summing up and combing the forecasting methods of labor supply and demand, we choose the combination of quantitative and qualitative methods to analyze and forecast. The current situation of labor supply and demand of manufacturing industry and the situation of labor supply and demand before 2020 are discussed. Secondly, the situation of labor supply and demand in two major manufacturing industries, labor-intensive and technology-intensive, is studied and forecasted respectively. In the end, some policy suggestions are put forward in the light of typical enterprise cases. The changes of labor supply and demand, characteristics and trends of labor force in China's manufacturing enterprises in the next few years are expounded in a comprehensive and systematic way. The forecast shows that the number of manufacturing jobs will remain around 120 million to 16 million until 2020. The trend of labor supply shows that there will be sufficient supply of labor force. In recent years, the problem of "employment difficulties" faced by enterprises is not due to the imbalance of the quantity of labor supply and demand itself. But because of the labor supply of personnel structure, age, education level, the new generation of manufacturing employment group demand changes, as well as the macroeconomic situation in the transition period, industrial structure adjustment and so on. Manufacturing enterprises want to recruit qualified personnel to meet the requirements of enterprise development, the difficulty. In addition. Through the research and prediction of different industries, we can see that the labor-intensive manufacturing industry in the transition period should take the employee management model as the focus of enterprise development. But the technology-intensive manufacturing industry should strengthen the construction of the technical personnel training and development system. Similarly, the manufacturing labor demand for the technical personnel has increased significantly, in the future, the aging population is becoming more and more serious. Emphasis should be placed on improving the quality of the population. On the one hand, the government can give more support to manufacturing enterprises through macroeconomic policy control, on the other hand, enterprises themselves also need to practice "people-oriented" in accordance with changes in the labour market. We will make great efforts to build a talent training system.
【学位授予单位】：上海社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F249.2;F425

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