中国风能发电的有效配置分析

发布时间：2018-02-13 03:18

本文关键词： 风能发电燃煤发电成本曲线分析能源配置　出处：《南京大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：发展风能发电是减少中国对煤电依赖性的重大机遇,而研究风电与煤电的相对成本可以为风能的未来发展开路。本文的最优化模型利用风能成本曲线来计算中国32个省级电网中的有效能源配置。风能成本曲线的计算法采用了建设与运营风能发电场的净现值以及本文估算的容量系数地图。根据模型结果,六个省级电网能够按照当地煤电价格水平经济地建设风能发电场,即福建、广东、海南、内蒙古东部、四川与浙江,风能发电量合计为2.2489亿兆瓦时。如果制定全国风电上网电价为0.51人民币,内蒙古西部、新疆和三个其他的省级电网也能够充分利用自身丰富的风力资源,在这个电价水平上,中国风能发电总量能够达到3.74亿兆瓦时,占2012年全国电力消费总量的8%。
[Abstract]:Developing wind power is a major opportunity to reduce China's dependence on coal power. The research on the relative cost of wind power and coal power can open the way for the future development of wind energy. The optimization model in this paper uses the wind energy cost curve to calculate the effective energy allocation in 32 provincial power grids in China. The net present value of building and operating wind farms and the capacity coefficient map estimated in this paper are used in the algorithm. Six provincial power grids can economically build wind power plants at local coal price levels, namely Fujian, Guangdong, Hainan, eastern Inner Mongolia, Sichuan and Zhejiang. The total amount of wind power generated is 224.89 million MWh. If the national wind power price is set at RMB 0.51, and the western Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang and three other provincial power grids can also make full use of their abundant wind power resources, at this price level, In 2012, China's total wind power consumption reached 374 million megawatts, accounting for 8 percent of the country's total electricity consumption.
【学位授予单位】：南京大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.61

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