基于价值链的风力发电企业成本分析研究

发布时间：2018-02-13 19:59

本文关键词： 风力发电成本分析价值链成本预测模糊综合评价　出处：《华北电力大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：目前在我国可再生能源中，除了水电以外，利用风力进行发电的技术是最成熟、最具规模的。然而风力发电成本高居不下是导致我国风力发电产业发展比较缓慢、缺乏竞争力的一个很大原因。因此，进行系统准确的成本分析，加强风电企业成本控制，提高风电企业竞争力，对于促进我国电力事业、改善我国能源结构以及控制环境污染具有十分重要的现实意义。鉴于以上情况，本文综合考虑风电企业发电特点，将价值链理论引入到风电企业发电成本分析中来。本文首先对价值链和成本分析理论作了详细介绍，主要包括成本分析的含义和基本方法、价值链的含义和分类、价值链成本控制的含义以及基于价值链的双重成本控制观，然后详细分析了传统成本分析方法下的风电成本构成和影响因素，并将价值链成本分析方法与之对比，，提出价值链风电成本分析方法的优越性和一般程序。并对风电企业的外部价值链和内部价值链作了详细分析，识别出风力发电成本动因，在此基础上，构建风电企业成本水平分析指标体系，运用层次分析法和模糊综合评价方法相结合的定量分析法，对风力发电企业的整个价值链上价值活动进行成本水平分析，为我国风力发电企业进行成本控制提供参考，最后分别针对风电企业外部价值链和内部价值链提出了成本控制策略。目前大部分关于降低风电成本的研究都是从产业政策以及促进风电设备国产化角度来分析的，本文扩大了风电成本分析范围，定性和定量相结合，从风电企业整条价值链的角度，对风电企业发电成本进行分析，更能够加大成本控制程度，最大限度降低成本。目前，在国内外还没有形成比较成熟的风电企业成本控制体系的情况下，对于如何进行风电企业成本控制，具有一定的参考意义。
[Abstract]:At present, besides hydropower, the technology of wind power generation in China is the most mature and the most large-scale. However, the high cost of wind power generation results in the slow development of wind power generation industry in China. Therefore, to carry out systematic and accurate cost analysis, strengthen the cost control of wind power enterprises, and improve the competitiveness of wind power enterprises will promote the power industry in our country. It is of great practical significance to improve the energy structure and control environmental pollution in China. In view of the above situation, this paper synthetically considers the characteristics of wind power generation. This paper introduces the theory of value chain into the cost analysis of power generation in wind power enterprises. Firstly, this paper introduces the theory of value chain and cost analysis in detail, including the meaning and basic method of cost analysis, the meaning and classification of value chain. The meaning of value chain cost control and the view of double cost control based on value chain are analyzed in detail, and the cost components and influencing factors of wind power under the traditional cost analysis method are analyzed in detail, and the value chain cost analysis method is compared with it. The superiority and general procedure of the cost analysis method of wind power in value chain are put forward. The external value chain and internal value chain of wind power enterprises are analyzed in detail, and the cost drivers of wind power generation are identified. The cost level analysis index system of wind power enterprise is constructed, and the cost level analysis of the value activity in the whole value chain of wind power enterprise is carried out by using the quantitative analysis method combined with the analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. This paper provides a reference for wind power enterprises to carry out cost control in China, and finally puts forward cost control strategies for wind power enterprises' external value chain and internal value chain respectively. At present, most of the researches on reducing the cost of wind power are analyzed from the angle of industrial policy and promoting the localization of wind power equipment. This paper expands the scope of cost analysis of wind power, combining qualitative and quantitative analysis. From the point of view of the whole value chain of wind power enterprises, the analysis of the cost of power generation in wind power enterprises can increase the degree of cost control and minimize costs. At present, The cost control system of wind power enterprise has not been formed at home and abroad, which has some reference significance for how to control the cost of wind power enterprise.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.61;F406.72

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