雾霾与工业化发展的关联研究——中国74个城市的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-02 20:06

本文选题：雾霾 + PM.　；参考：《软科学》2015年06期

【摘要】：以2013年中国74个首批PM2.5监测城市的截面数据为研究样本,应用TOBIT模型进行雾霾与工业化发展之间的实证分析。结果表明:首先,若某城市工业增加值占GDP比提高1个百分点,那么其雾霾天数将增加约4天。其次,若某城市象征重工业化度的重要指示变量霍夫曼系数之倒数提高1个百分点,那么其雾霾天数也将增加约1天。第三,所监测城市化程度越高,则所对应的雾霾现象也越严重。据此,在经济发展模式不作调整的前提下,中国城市雾霾现象将难以解决。
[Abstract]:Based on the cross-sectional data of 74 PM2.5 monitoring cities in China in 2013, the empirical analysis between haze and industrialization was carried out by using TOBIT model. The results show that, first of all, if the ratio of industrial added value to GDP is increased by 1%, the number of days of haze will increase by about 4 days. Secondly, if the reciprocal of the Huffman coefficient, an important indicator of the degree of heavy industry, is increased by 1 percentage point, the number of haze days will increase by about one day. Third, the higher the degree of urbanization monitored, the more serious the corresponding haze phenomenon. Therefore, without adjustment of economic development mode, the haze phenomenon in Chinese cities will be difficult to solve.
【作者单位】：北京科技大学东凌经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(7127260) 教育部科技委战略研究重大项目(KJW-A-1410) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(FRF-BR-13-030A)
【分类号】：X22;F424

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