中国工业分行业碳排放影响因素分解研究

发布时间：2018-05-04 19:15

本文选题：碳排放 + 因素分解　；参考：《生态经济》2015年01期

【摘要】：采用2004~2010年中国各行业不同能源类型的相关统计数据,基于IPCC温室气体排放清单指南中的计算方法,计算了中国工业分行业各类能源消耗碳排放量;并应用LMDI法对中国工业分行业能源消耗碳排放量影响因素进行了分析。结果表明:在这7年中,中国工业能源消费碳排放年均增长8.18%,比工业增加值平均增速高5.26%;在对经济增长、产业结构、能源强度、能源结构四个因素的分析中可知,经济增长和能源强度的升高是中国能源碳排放持续增长的主导原因,能源结构对减少碳排放有较小贡献,产业结构对促进中国工业能源碳排放减少有很大贡献。通过对中国工业三大行业的进一步分析可知,制造业、电力、燃气及水的生产和供应业对中国工业能源碳排放的增加有较大影响。
[Abstract]:Based on the statistical data of different energy types in China from 2004 to 2010 and based on the calculation method of IPCC greenhouse gas emission inventory guide, the carbon emissions from different energy consumption of China's industrial subsectors are calculated. LMDI method was applied to analyze the factors affecting carbon emissions from energy consumption in China's industrial subsectors. The results show that carbon emissions from China's industrial energy consumption increased by an average of 8.18 per year over the past seven years, 5.26a higher than the average growth rate of industrial added value, and that in the analysis of the four factors of economic growth, industrial structure, energy intensity and energy structure, The economic growth and energy intensity increase are the main reasons for the continuous growth of China's energy carbon emissions. The energy structure has a small contribution to reducing carbon emissions, and the industrial structure has a great contribution to promote the reduction of China's industrial energy carbon emissions. Through further analysis of the three major industries in China, the production and supply of manufacturing, electricity, gas and water have great influence on the increase of industrial energy carbon emissions in China.
【作者单位】：湖北经济学院;贵州大学资源与环境工程学院;
【基金】：湖北省自然科学基金项目(2012FFB02702)
【分类号】：F424;X22

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