页岩气产业发展的影响因素

发布时间：2018-07-22 12:52

【摘要】：美国页岩气开发全面进入了产业化发展阶段.作为页岩气资源蕴藏量同样极其丰富的中国,推动开发页岩气有利于改善能源结构、保障能源安全。以美国5个典型页岩气区带解剖为依据,对页岩气产业发展影响因素进行定量分析,提出了影响页岩气产业发展因素的分类方案;采用主成分分析法.分析了影响页岩气产业化各指标的影响程度;通过对比,总结了美国页岩气产业发展历程对中国页岩气产业发展的启示。结果表明:①影响页岩气产业发展的4个主要因素为资源基础、技术支持、产业政策和投入产出.由此构建了页岩气产业发展影响因素指标体系,包含11项具体指标;②对美国页岩气产业发展因素进行分析可知,埋深是最为重要的主控因素;③根据因素的重要程度和对比中美页岩气产业发展状况可知,中国要想页岩气产业化顺利发展,必须跨越地质条件复杂、单井投资高、油气开采公司数量少等3个方面的障碍。
[Abstract]:The development of shale gas in the United States has entered the stage of industrialization. As a country with abundant shale gas resources, promoting the development of shale gas is beneficial to improve energy structure and ensure energy security. Based on the anatomy of five typical shale gas zones in the United States, the factors affecting the development of shale gas industry were quantitatively analyzed, and the classification scheme of factors affecting the development of shale gas industry was put forward, and the principal component analysis method was used. This paper analyzes the influence degree of each index of shale gas industrialization and summarizes the enlightenment of the development course of American shale gas industry to the development of China's shale gas industry through comparison. The results show that the four main factors affecting the development of shale gas industry are resource base, technical support, industrial policy and input-output. Therefore, an index system of influencing factors of shale gas industry development is constructed, which includes 11 specific indexes and analyzes the factors of shale gas industry development in the United States. The buried depth is the most important controlling factor. 3According to the important degree of factors and comparing the development status of shale gas industry in China and America, it can be seen that in order to develop shale gas industry smoothly, China must overcome the obstacles of complex geological conditions, high investment in single well and small number of oil and gas exploitation companies.
【作者单位】：中国地质大学(北京)人文经管学院;中国石油勘探开发研究院;
【基金】：国家科技重大专项“全球剩余油气资源研究及油气资产快速评价技术(二期)”(编号:2011ZX05028) 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(编号:2652012026)
【分类号】：F426.22

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