泰安—单县天然气管道工程项目经济与社会效益评价研究

发布时间：2018-08-06 18:59

【摘要】：任何一个项目投资都是有风险的,天然气项目也一样,一旦投资决策失误,就会给投资者带来巨大损失。这就要求投资者在开发建设一个项目时,一定对项目经济与社会效益进行评价。对天然气管道工程项目进行经济与社会效益分析评价,不仅可以发现项目建设的各种潜在效益,而且可以充分利用天然气资源,对整个建设周期的效益进行很好的管理控制。本文以泰安-单县天然气工程项目为研究对象,通过学习项目经济与社会效益评价等相关知识,利用定性与定量分析相结合的方法,对泰安-单县天然气工程项目经济与社会效益进行了具体分析评价。首先,对项目效益评价相关理论进行了充分学习和研究；其次,根据项目自身特点,对项目经济效益和社会效益分别进行了分析评价；然后,将项目建设中不可量化的经济效益和社会效益运用AHP-模糊综合评价法,对项目经济与社会效益进行了综合评价分析。经过对项目财务经济评价,得出项目具有较好的盈利能力和清偿能力,且面对未来的不确定性,具有一定的抗风险能力。国民经济评价结果表明,天然气管道工程项目能够取得一定的国民经济效益,对国家、社会及当地经济发展有着一定影响。对项目经济与社会效益进行综合评价时,主要从项目直接经济效益、间接效益和社会效益三个方面,选择了11个项目效益评价指标,构建了泰安-单县.天然气工程项目经济与社会效益评价指标体系,并运用层次分析法确定了各个指标权重,得出泰安-单县天然气工程项目经济与社会效益中,项目直接经济效益和社会效益权重所占的比例比较高,分别是0.560以及0.311,项目间接经济效益得到的权重值为0.129,且项目经济和社会效益重点体现在提高经济费用效益值、提高企业经济效益和改善了当地基础设施等方面；且经过模糊综合评价,得出项目经济与社会效益良好,隶属度为75.7854。进而得出泰安-单县天然气工程项目建设,对促进地方经济发展,改善当地能源分配和基础设施建设有着深远影响。
[Abstract]:Investment in any project is risky, as is the case with natural gas projects, which can cause huge losses to investors if investment decisions are not made. This requires investors in the development and construction of a project, must evaluate the economic and social benefits of the project. By analyzing and evaluating the economic and social benefits of the natural gas pipeline project, not only the potential benefits of the project construction can be found, but also the natural gas resources can be fully utilized, and the benefit of the whole construction cycle can be well managed and controlled. In this paper, the natural gas project of Taian-Shan County is taken as the research object. By studying the relevant knowledge of economic and social benefit evaluation of the project, the method of combining qualitative and quantitative analysis is used. The economic and social benefits of natural gas project in Taian-Shan County are analyzed and evaluated. First, the relevant theories of project benefit evaluation are studied and studied; secondly, according to the characteristics of the project itself, the economic and social benefits of the project are analyzed and evaluated respectively. The non-quantifiable economic and social benefits in the construction of the project are analyzed by using AHP-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Through the financial and economic evaluation of the project, it is concluded that the project has good profitability and solvency, and has a certain ability to resist risks in the face of uncertainty in the future. The results of national economic evaluation show that the natural gas pipeline project can obtain certain national economic benefits and has a certain impact on the national, social and local economic development. In the comprehensive evaluation of the economic and social benefits of the project, 11 evaluation indexes were selected from three aspects of direct, indirect and social benefits of the project, and the Taian-Shan County was constructed. The evaluation index system of economic and social benefits of natural gas engineering project is established, and the weight of each index is determined by analytic hierarchy process, and the economic and social benefits of the natural gas project in Taian-Shan County are obtained. The proportion of direct economic benefit and social benefit weight of the project is relatively high, which are 0.560 and 0.311 respectively. The weight value of the indirect economic benefit of the project is 0.129, and the emphasis of the economic and social benefit of the project is to improve the economic cost benefit value. Through fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, it is concluded that the economic and social benefits of the project are good, and the subordinate degree is 75.7854. It is concluded that the construction of natural gas project in Tai'an-Shan County has a profound influence on promoting the development of local economy, improving local energy distribution and infrastructure construction.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.22

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